Arsenal vs Porto Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips
| Timetable | 21:00 GMT 12 Mar 24 |
| Prediction | Arsenal To Win! |
| Odds | 1.19 |
| Bookmaker | Fun Sports |
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After the late 1-0 win at Estadio Do Dragao in the first leg of the UCL RO16, Porto will be full of confidence when they visit the gunners at the Emirates in what promises to be a fight to the death. However, Porto who are ranked as the third-best team in Portugal just confirmed that they aren’t a side to be taken lightly. They recently thumped their archrivals Benfica 5-0 at home. But will this be enough to claim the win on English soil? In this comprehensive football betting prediction, I’ll look at the latest Arsenal vs Porto odds while providing tips about who will win!
🏆 Arsenal vs Porto UCL Prediction
When delving into the historical clashes between Arsenal and FC Porto, we find a balanced record from their 7 encounters since 2006. Arsenal clinched victory in 3 matches, netting a total of 12 goals and averaging 1.7 points per game (PPG). FC Porto also boasts 3 wins with 5 goals to their name and a PPG of 0.7, while the teams have shared the spoils once. The head-to-head (H2H) results show a remarkable 100% win rate for Arsenal on home soil.
Porto’s narrow 1-0 triumph in the first leg marks their third success over the North Londoners, setting the stage for a riveting return fixture. Currently, Porto’s form in Europe is impressive, having secured 4 wins in their last 5 continental outings. Arsenal, however, has hit a snag with a draw and a loss in their recent matches, ramping up the pressure for the upcoming clash.
Despite the setback in the first leg, Arsenal has been on a smooth sail, hinting at a robust comeback potential. Porto, while not as dominant in appearance, can leverage their consistent UEFA Champions League (UCL) performance as they step onto the pitch with high stakes at play.
My Prediction: 🏆 Arenal 3 – 1 Porto ⚽
💯 Arsenal vs Porto UCL Match Odds
Odds on a wide range of Arsenal vs. Porto betting options are currently available, such as the match winner, both teams to score, and the over/under for the total number of goals scored. Let's examine the odds in each of these markets in more detail in this betting guide!
🏅 Arsenal vs Porto: Match Winner
Backing the match winner is the single most popular Arsenal vs Porto wagering market, at least according to the best UCL bookmakers. Porto have been given the nod as the obvious favourites to qualify thanks to the first leg win but anything can happen on English soil. The last time these sides met in England in March of 2010, Arsenal won 5-0. Let's take a look at all of the available odds at new UK betting sites.
| Team |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal to Win | 1.22 | 1.19 | 1.19 | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Porto to Win | 1.22 | 1.19 | 1.19 | 1.46 | 1.44 |
| Draw | 4.70 | 4.75 | 4.90 | 4.60 | 5.00 |
⚽ Arsenal vs Porto: Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
Arsenal and Porto have been incredibly potent in front of goal this season, with both sides scoring in all but one of their matches so far. Arsenal didn’t get the chance to rattle the net in the first leg, for the first time since the start of the current campaign. While Porto only failed to score in the 1-0 defeat to Barcelona back in October.
Porto have also conceded eight goals in this 2023/24, securing only a 29% clean sheet record while Arsenal have secured their posts on 43% of their games and conceded five goals. Both sides equally boast of similar goal-scoring prowess by scoring in 86% of their matches overall. So my favorite bookies have placed noticeably short odds on BTTS in England. Don’t forget to check our bookmaker reviews for more insights.
| Yes/No | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.90 | 1.603 | 1.55 | 1.57 | 1.54 |
| No | 1.90 | 1.603 | 1.55 | 1.57 | 1.54 |
🥅 Arsenal vs Porto: Over/Under 2.5 Goals
The goal-scoring prowess of Arsenal and Porto this season has been noteworthy, with Arsenal averaging 3.2 goals per game and Porto not far behind at 2.5. Both teams have demonstrated a consistent ability to net more than 2 goals per game. However, Porto edges out in defensive performance, conceding an average of just 0.5 goals per match on the road, compared to Arsenal’s 0.8 at home.
Given the offensive tendencies of both squads and their track record of surpassing the 2.5 goal mark in two-thirds of their matches, it seems a prudent bet to anticipate a total goal tally exceeding 2.5 in their upcoming UEFA Champions League encounter.
| Under/Over | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.60 | 1.603 | 1.55 | 1.57 | 1.54 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.30 | 1.603 | 1.55 | 1.57 | 1.54 |
✔️ Arsenal vs Porto - Betting Tips
Even though you can use sportsbook promos and free bets on this game, it can still be difficult to navigate the many betting markets before Arsenal vs Porto takes place. So, to assist you in making wise decisions, here are some professional betting tips.
- Backing Arsenal to Win and Both Sides to Score: Arsenal’s odds of securing a victory over Porto stand at approximately 1.22, presenting limited value for those unwilling to place a substantial bet. Yet, considering Porto’s distinguished history and the formidable offensive capabilities of both teams, a more intriguing option is to craft a combo bet. This bet would support Arsenal to emerge victorious while also expecting both teams to find the back of the net at a price of 2.90 with 10Bet. This unlocks considerably higher odds, albeit at a higher risk.
- Back There to be Over 3.5 Goals Scored: While the 2.5 goals line is a common benchmark in total goals betting, it’s interesting to note that the average goals per game for these teams in their seven UCL matches this season is 2.29. However, their most recent league performances—victories of 6-0 and 5-0—suggest that an explosive, high-scoring affair might unfold at the Emirates. For those looking to capitalize on this trend, wagering on over 3.5 goals in the upcoming game a price of 2.05 with 10Bet, could offer substantial value, with odds enhancing the potential for profit in what’s typically an even money market.
- Arsenal to Score First: Arsenal’s performance at Bramall Lane was a showcase of vigour and tenacity. They adopted an aggressive pressing strategy right from the kickoff, which paid off with a flurry of five goals in the first half. Mindful of their key players’ fitness, they moderated their intensity later in the game, safeguarding Martinelli and Saka from injury risks. Looking ahead, I anticipate that Arsenal will maintain this proactive stance, especially with the support of a fervently partisan home crowd. The aim will be to make an early impact and establish control from the outset. For bettors, placing a wager on Arsenal to open the scoring appears to be a prudent choice, at a price of 1.16 with Betiton—a relatively safe bet considering the circumstances.
1️⃣ Arsenal Update
Arsenal’s momentum is undeniable, remaining unbeaten in their last five outings in the Premier League. Their formidable form has positioned them as a key player in the Premier League’s thrilling title race, trailing just one point behind Manchester City and two behind leaders Liverpool. The squad’s cohesive play and tactical brilliance have been on full display, culminating in a historic achievement: Arsenal is the first team in the history of English football to secure three consecutive away victories with a margin of five or more goals, including the recent 6-0 triumph over Sheffield United.
Looking ahead, expectations are high for Arsenal to maintain their stellar performance in the upcoming Premier League match and the Champions League encounter with Porto. With the team’s current trajectory, fans and pundits alike anticipate that Arsenal’s winning streak will extend, further solidifying their status as title contenders.
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Sheffield United 0 Arsenal 6 | 04.03.24 English Premier League |
| Arsenal 4 Newcastle United 1 | 24.02.24 English Premier League |
| Porto 1 Arsenak 0 | 21.02.24 UEFA Champions League |
| Burnley 0 Arsenal 5 | 17.02.24 English Premier League |
| West Ham United 0 Arsenal 6 | 11.02.24 English Premier League |
Arsenal will virtually be at full strength when they host Porto in the UCL, although Thomas Partey, Gabriel Jesus, Jurren Timber, Takehiro Tomiyasu, and Oleksandr Zinchenko continue to be rated doubtful for the encounter.
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Jesus | Foot Injury |
| Jurren Timber | ACL Injury |
| Takehiro Tomiyasu | Calf Injury |
| Oleksandr Zinchenko | Calf Injury |
| Oleksandr Zinchenko | Thigh Injury |
2️⃣ Porto Update
FC Porto, a perennial powerhouse in Liga Portugal, has once again solidified their status as title contenders. Their emphatic 5-0 victory over arch-rivals Benfica at Estádio do Dragão has reignited their championship aspirations, narrowing the points deficit to just six. The league is far from decided, and with plenty of matches left, the title race remains wide open.
Wenderson Galeno, the Brazilian maestro, has been nothing short of sensational, contributing 10 goals and 8 assists across the UEFA Champions League and Liga Portugal. His pivotal role in the first leg against Arsenal, where his late goal sealed a 1-0 victory, underscores his potential to be a game-changer in the return fixture. The formidable frontline of Evanilson, Pepê, Conceição, and Galeno poses a formidable threat that opponents must approach with caution.
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Porto 5 Benfica 0 | 03.03.24 Liga Portugal |
| Santa Clara 2 Porto 2 | 29.02.24 Taça de Portugal |
| Gil Vicente 1 Porto1 | 25.02.24 Liga Portugal |
| Porto1 Arsenal0 | 21.02.24 Bundesliga |
| Porto2 Estrela Amadora0 | 17.03.24 Liga Portugal |
Porto will be without Ivan Marcano, Gabriel Veron, Mehdi Taremi and Zaidu Sanusi for this return leg. That notwithstanding, do not write them off totally as the current squad has proven capable of inflicting damage on anyone.
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Veron | Rchies tendon |
| Ivan Marcano | ACL injury |
| Mehdi Taremi | Thigh Injury |
| Zaidu Sanusi | ACL Injury |
👕 Arsenal vs Porto - Potential Lineups
| Pos. | Arsenal 4-3-3 | Porto 4-2-3-1 | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | D. Raya | D. Costa | Goalkeeper |
| Right Back | B. White | J. Mario | Right Back |
| Centre Back | W. Saliba | Pepe | Centre Back |
| Centre Back | Gabriel Maghales | Otavio | Centre Back |
| Left Back | J. Kiwior | Wendel | Left Back |
| Midfielder | D. Rice | Nico | Midfielder |
| Midfielder | Jorginho | A. Varela | Midfielder |
| Midfielder | M. Odegaard | Pepê | Attacking Midfielder |
| Wide Forward | G. Martinelli | Galeno | Wide Forward |
| Striker | K. Havertz | Evanilson | Striker |
| Wide Forward | B. Saka | Conceição | Wide Forward |
✒️ Yato Katte – Expert Tipster
Yato is a seasoned sports writer and tipster deeply immersed in football, basketball, and mixed martial arts. He reveres Messi as the ultimate athlete and bleeds Chelsea blue as a devoted supporter. With numerous published articles and predictions, Yato aims to carve a prominent niche in the iGaming industry, offering insightful betting strategies.
