Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips
| Timetable | 20:00 GMT 13 Mar 24 |
| Prediction | Inter Milan To Win! |
| Odds | 2.30 |
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Buoyed by their narrow 1-0 victory at the Giuseppe Meazza in the UEFA Champions League round-of-16 first leg, Inter Milan approaches the second leg at Wanda Metropolitano with a surge of confidence. The stage is set for a monumental showdown with Los Colchoneros, where both teams will battle fiercely for progression. Currently holding the fourth rank in the Euro Club Index and boasting an impeccable streak of 10 consecutive wins in 2024, Inter Milan's form appears indomitable. For an in-depth exploration of the Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan clash, including the latest odds and strategic betting insights, be sure to read this extensive betting guide, where I'll share predictions on the potential victor of this thrilling encounter.
🏆 Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan UCL Prediction
As the betting community buzzes with anticipation, the main question on every bettor’s mind is who will win? The head-to-head record between Atlético Madrid and Inter Milan reveals a narrow edge for the Italian side with two wins to Atlético's one in their three past encounters. Notably, none have resulted in a draw. This UEFA Champions League season has seen Atlético Madrid average 2.4 points per game at home while Inter Milan impresses with a full three points per game in away matches.
Diego Simeone's Atlético has a commendable track record in European knockout games against Italian teams, with victories in five out of six matches. Yet, the memory of their 3-0 defeat to Juventus in the 2018/19 season, which led to their elimination, still lingers. Meanwhile, Inter Milan's last clash with Spanish competition in the UCL knockout phase dates back to the 2009/10 season under Jose Mourinho's leadership, culminating in a treble-winning campaign.
With both teams possessing the calibre to secure a win, the upcoming match is poised on a knife-edge. However, my analysis leans towards Inter Milan whose current momentum suggests they are the favourites to claim victory in this high-stakes duel.
My Prediction: 🏆 Atletico Madrid 1 – 2 Inter Milan ⚽
💯 Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan UCL Match Odds
Odds are readily available for a wide array of betting options for the Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan match. As usual, I will go for the most interesting ones. This includes the match-winner odds, the BTTS odds, and the total (over/under) number of goals odds. Let's examine these markets in more detail.
🏅 Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan: Match Winner
Bookmakers know that this is the market on which most players like to bet. Inter has already done well by taking the first-leg lead. As such Inzaghi and his men will do everything to maintain that one-goal cushion. Atletico on the other hand are known for their fighting spirit and will want to draw inspiration from their 2010 UEFA Super Cup victory against Inter (2-0). Let’s focus on the odds offered by my favourite bookmakers and some new UK betting sites.
| Team |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid to Win | 2.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 4.20 | 1.73 |
| Inter Milan to Win | 2.30 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 1.46 | 4.33 |
| Draw | 3.10 | 3.70 | 3.70 | 3.75 | 3.90 |
⚽ Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan: Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
Inter Milan have been incredibly potent in front of goal this season. The last 10 games are just a reward for their hard work and determination. Atleti hasn’t been that good lately: drawing with Almeria 2-2 and being comprehensively drubbed by Bilbao 3-0 in the Copa Del Rey semi-final. As such it might be a little tricky to predict BTTS. Nevertheless, 40% of Atleti’s UCL games have ended with both teams scoring, so I think there’s some hope for them to score a goal as they have Morata who is one of the leading marksmen in this edition of the competition. Here’s what the bookies are offering:
| Yes/No | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.80 | 1.603 | 1.55 | 1.57 | 1.54 |
| No | 1.90 | 1.603 | 1.55 | 1.57 | 1.54 |
🥅 Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan: Over/Under 2.5 Goals
When we analyze the matches contested by Atletico Madrid and Inter Milan this season have yielded 1.40 goals per game for Atletico and 2.50 goals per game for Inter over the last 10. Conversely, their H2H suggests an average of 1.33 goals which is quite low. Here are the odds the bookies are offering:
| Under/Over | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.10 | 1.603 | 1.55 | 1.57 | 1.54 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.70 | 1.603 | 1.55 | 1.57 | 1.54 |
✔️ Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan - Betting Tips
While it’s possible to use sportsbooks promotions and free bets on this game, navigating the available wagering markets ahead of the clash between Atletico Madrid and Inter Milan can still prove challenging. Here are some of my betting tips to help you make more informed selections.
- Backing Inter Milan to Score First: Inter Milan may have salient odds of 2.30 but if you want to try something else you could set sights on Inter’s likelihood of drawing first blood in this fierce encounter like they did in the first leg. I will give a stat that could cushion this point. In all of Inter’s games in 2024 they have opened the scoring. That’s 10 games and counting. Claim this market at a price of 1.86 with Fun Casino Sports. The odds may be lower, but I think it’s a safe backup.
- Back There to be Under 3.5 Goals Scored: Over/Under markets always give us a lot to ponder on before staking. This fixture pits two top European sides who are good at dispatching their opponents. Moreover, they are both very defensively robust sides. So a high-scoring encounter will probably be unlikely, and with Griezmann missing out for the Spaniards, the goal-scoring prospects for Atletico just got slimmer. You can bet on under 3.5 goals being scored in the game a price of 1.35 with Fun Casino Sports, potentially securing another safe ticket.
- Backing a Double Chance and Total Over 1.5: Atletico Madrid pressed very hard in the first leg but failed to convert their chances. Inter was a tidbit more pragmatic which is what resulted in the goal. But in an encounter that showcases two sides that play in 3-5-2 formations, a draw is often on cards. This scenario will still benefit Inter. You can bet on this combined market an interesting price of 1.80 with Betiton.
1️⃣ Atletico Madrid Update
Atletico Madrid finds themselves in a precarious situation, having secured only two victories in their last five matches. As the season approaches its climax, their aspirations are now pinned on success in the UEFA Champions League and a strong finish in La Liga. The upcoming UCL tie represents a pivotal moment: it’s a chance to reignite their campaign or face the prospect of narrowing their focus to securing a spot in next season’s UCL through league placement. Below is a brief overview of their recent performances:
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid2 Real Betis1 | 03.03.24 La Liga |
| Athletic Bilbao3 Atletico Madrid 0 | 29.02.24 Copa Del Rey |
| Almeria2 Atletico Madrid 2 | 24.02.24 La Liga |
| Inter Milan1 Atletico Madrid 0 | 20.02.24 UEFA Champions League |
| Atletico Madrid5 Las Palmas0 | 17.02.24 La Liga |
The side from the Spanish capital has had its fair share of injury woes. Atletico Madrid will be without Thomas Lemar, Marcos Paulo, César Azpilicueta, and star player Antoine Griezmann. This just tells us that the return leg will be quite tricky.
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Thomas Lemar | Archilles tendon injury |
| Marcos Paulo | ACL surgery |
| César Azpilicueta | Meniscus tear |
| Antoine Griezmann | Ankle injury |
2️⃣ Inter Milan Update
Inter Milan are big favourites to claim the Serie A title this year after ending second last year. They have been in fine form this season in the league and since the turn of the new year, they’ve been on a 10-match winning streak which involved some very convincing high-scoring wins. Lautaro Martinez is in the form of his life with 26 goals in all competitions, even though he has to cement this by adding to his goal tally of 2 in Europe’s premier competition. He is also supported by Marcus Thuram who boasts a combined 17G/A in all competitions this season. Even though he limped off in the first leg he should be on the team sheet yet again.
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Inter Milan 2 Genoa 1 | 04.03.24 Serie A |
| Inter Milan 4 Atalanta0 | 28.02.24 Serie A |
| Lecce0 Inter Milan4 | 25.02.24 Serie A |
| Inter Milan1 Atletico Madrid0 | 20.02.24 UEFA Champions League |
| Inter Milan4 Salernitana0 | 16.02.24 Serie A |
As Inter Milan prepares for their upcoming challenge, they will be without the services of Juan Cuadrado, Stefano Sensi, and the influential Hakan Çalhanoğlu. The absence of Çalhanoğlu is a notable setback, yet Kristjan Asllani has stepped up admirably, showcasing his capability as a formidable substitute. This scenario underscores the resilience and depth of Simone Inzaghi's squad, reflecting a team that thrives even when faced with adversity.
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Juan Cuadrado | Archilles tendon surgery |
| Stefano Sensi | Unknown injury |
| Hakan Çalhanoğlu | Adductor pain |
👕 Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan - Potential Lineups
| Pos. | Atletico Madrid 3-5-2 | Inter Milan 3-5-2 | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | J. Oblak | Y. Sommer | Goalkeeper |
| Centre Back | S. Savic | B. Pavard | Centre Back |
| Centre Back | G. Paulista | De Vrij | Centre Back |
| Centre Back | R. Mandava | Bastoni | Centre Back |
| Right Wing Back | S. Lino | Di Marco | Right Wing Back |
| Midfielder | P. Barrios | H. Mkhitaryan | Midfielder |
| Midfielder | Koke | K. Asllani | Midfielder |
| Midfielder | R. De Paul | N. Barela | Midfielder |
| Left Wing Back | M. Llorente | M. Darmian | Left Wing Back |
| Striker | A. Morata | L. Martinez | Striker |
| Striker | M. Depay | M. Thuram | Striker |
✒️ Yato Katte – Expert Tipster
Yato is a seasoned sports writer and tipster deeply immersed in football, basketball, and mixed martial arts. He reveres Messi as the ultimate athlete and bleeds Chelsea blue as a devoted supporter. With numerous published articles and predictions, Yato aims to carve a prominent niche in the iGaming industry, offering insightful betting strategies.
