Bayern vs Lazio Prediction, Odds, and Betting Tips

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Timetable 20:00 GMT - 5th March 24
Prediction Draw
Odds 5.25
Draw
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bayern-munich-vs-lazio-ucl

The first leg of this Champions League match between Lazio and Bayern Munich was played on the 14th of February, and Lazio picked up a surprise 1-0 win to take the Allianz Arena on Tuesday the 5th of March. This match has been scheduled to kick off at 20:00 GMT, so make sure that you are free on this evening as Bayern are going to be baying for blood to avoid an early exit from the tournament. Will Lazio keep their advantage and qualify for the quarter-finals, or will Bayern come back with a bang? Find out by reading my prediction below:

🏆 Bayern Munich vs Lazio: Who Will Win?

Bayern Munich has suffered three defeats in their previous three matches, which included a pretty embarrassing defeat to VfL Bochum on the 18th of February. They have now lost ground in the title chase, and they will not go deep in the UCL if their poor form continues. There has already been one casualty of their recent poor form, and this is Thomas Tuchel as he was told that his services will no longer be required at the end of the season. I think this is a complete over-reaction and will have an adverse impact on the rest of their season.

Lazio are sitting in 7th place in the Serie A, but they have shown some pretty decent form lately, which has given them an outside chance of sneaking into next season's Champions League. It is very likely that Italy will get an extra qualification spot as one of the top two teams in UEFA's co-efficient rankings. From their previous 10 league matches, they have picked up 19 points, which can only be bettered by four other teams. They will be heading into this match with plenty of confidence.

Bayern will be eager to turn around the 1-0 deficit and make it through to the last eight, but things are rotten in the state of Bavaria at the moment. This is the best time to be playing Bayern Munich, and I think Lazio will walk away from the Allianz Arena with a draw, which would see them qualify with a 2-1 aggregate scoreline.

My Prediction: 🏆 Bayern Munich 1 Lazio 1 ⚽

💯 Bayern Munich vs Lazio Match Odds

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If you have read any other football predictions of mine, then you will already know the markets that I tend to focus on. If you are new to my predictions, then mostly focus on the following three markets:

  • Match winner
  • Both teams to score
  • Over/Under 2.5 goals

I choose such markets because they are very popular and can be found at the majority of established and new UK betting sites. If you would like to find out more about any of these bookies, then all that you need to do is click on the logos in the table, and you will get to make use of our top bookmaker reviews.

Bayern Munich vs Lazio: Match Winner Odds

Despite their recent lack of form, the bookmakers have Bayern Munich as the overwhelming favourites for this match. While I have no issues with Bayern being the favourites since they still have some quality players, I feel it is an insult to give Lazio such long odds. They showed in the first game that they can match the Germans, and I think it will be a closer match than what the odds are suggesting. Below are the match winner odds for this Bayern Munich vs Lazio match:

Team
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Bayern Munich1.271.271.331.321.35
Draw5.205.205.255.105.00
Lazio8.308.308.508.008.50

Bayern Munich vs Lazio: Both Teams To Score Odds

When it comes to the BTTS market, the bookies do not believe that Lazio will manage to breach the defences of Bayern Munich. Once again, I feel that these odds are based on Bayern's reputation rather than what their current form says. I actually think that Lazio will score in this match, and I will give my reasons for this in the following section of this prediction. For now, just take some time to check out the BTTS odds below:

Team
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Yes1.911.911.901.851.94
No1.731.731.801.791.80

Bayern Munich vs Lazio: Over/Under 2.5 Goals Odds

The bookies are pretty confident that there will be at least three goals scored in this game. Since they think that Bayern will win easily and that Lazio will not score, these odds are telling us that they think Bayern will run out at least 3-0 winners. At the risk of looking pretty stupid on the 5th, I do not see this happening. If you want to place bets on such a market, then check out the over/under 2.5 goals odds table below:

Team
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mr-mega-logo
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Over1.551.551.601.541.60
Under2.192.192.302.282.25

✔️ Bayern Munich vs Lazio - Betting Tips

Whether you are using your own money or some free bets to bet on this game, you should get into the habit of checking out some expert betting tips before you finalise your wagers. So, with this firmly in mind, this section of my betting guide is going to deal with my betting advice for this Bayern Munich vs Lazio match.

  • Bet on a draw: I know that the bookies have Bayern Munich as the overwhelming favourites to go on and win this match, but I think those odds are inflated and based on past glories rather than current form. Bayern lost 3-2 to VfL Bochum, who have half the number of points that Tuchel's men do, and were destroyed 3-0 by Bayer Leverkusen. Lazio are in better form, and I think this will be enough to secure them the draw and passage to the last eight. You can find odds of 5.25 on offer at 10Bet Sport.
  • Bet on BTTS: I am going against the bookmakers in this market too as I believe that both teams will find the back of the net. Bayern have conceded 16 goals in their previous 10 matches, which is more than their fans will be used to seeing them concede. Lazio, on the other hand, have scored in all but one of their previous ten games, so they have not had any issues finding the back of the net. If you want to back BTTS, then you can find odds of 1.94 at Fun Casino Sports.
  • Bet on under 2.5 goals: The bookies think that there will be three goals in this match, but once again I bet to differ. I believe that this will be a close match that will finish all square, with each team scoring just the one goal. If this sounds like something that you can get on board with, then 10Bet Sport are currently offering odds of 2.30 for this market.
  • Bet on a 1-1 scoreline: I like checking out the odds that are on offer for the correct score of a match because they are usually pretty enticing. This is because this is not an easy market for punters to get right. If you agree with me that this match will end 1-1, then Betiton Sport are offering odds of 9.20 for this scoreline at present.

1️⃣Bayern Munich Update

Many Bayern Munich fans probably cannot remember the last time that their team lost three matches in a row, and they will now be worried that they are going to end the season without a trophy for the first time since Shakespeare was alive. Okay, maybe that is a bit of an exaggeration, it is rare for them not to win a single trophy in a season. While losing to the likes of Bayer Leverkusen and Lazio is no big deal, losing to Bochum will certainly have gotten their fans worried about their upcoming matches.

Harry Kane has been scoring goals for fun for his new club, and those of a Bayern persuasion will be hoping that he can propel them past Bayern and into the last eight of the UCL. It would just be his luck if he ended the season without a trophy as winning trophies was his main reason for moving to Germany.

Last 5 Games
VfL Bochum3
Bayern Munich2
18.02.24
Bundesliga
Lazio1
Bayern Munich0
14.02.24
Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen3
Bayern Munich0
10.02.24
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich3
Borussia Monchengladbach1
03.02.24
Bundesliga
Augsburg2
Bayern Munich3
27.01.24
Bundesliga

Tuchel has had to put up with several injuries this season, and he will be missing at least seven players for this big match against Lazio. You can see their absentees in the table below:

PlayerReason
Tarek BuchmannTorn Muscle
Bouna SarrCruciate Ligament Tear
Kingsley ComanInternal Ligament Tear
Konrad LaimerCalf Injury
Daniel PeretzInner Ligament Injury
Sacha BoeyTorn Muscle Fibre
Noussair MazraouiTorn Muscle Fibre
Dayot UpamecanoRed Card Suspension

2️⃣ Lazio Update

When Lazio got drawn with Bayern Munich in the Round of 16, their fans would have been fearing the worst, but now they are just 90 minutes away from knocking the Germans out. They know that if they avoid defeat in Munich, they will return to Italy with a spot in the Round of 16 in the bag.

They will head to Germany buoyed by their recent form in the Serie A, which has seen them pick up 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 defeats from their previous 10 games. They have conceded just 1 goal per game in this run, so they should be a hard nut for Lazio to crack.

Last 5 Games
Torino0
Lazio2
22.02.24
Serie A
Lazio1
Bologna2
18.02.24
Serie A
Inter3
Lazio0
19.01.24
Super Cup
Lazio1
Bayern Munich0
14.02.24
Champions League
Cagliari1
Lazio3
10.02.24
Serie A

Sarri will have at least five players that he will not be able to call upon for this clash against Bayern Munich, and you can see these in the table below.

PlayerReason
PatricShoulder Injury
Mattia ZaccagniToe Injury
Nicolo RovellaInflammation of Pubic Bone
Matias VecinoStrain
Christos MandasInflammation of Pubic Bone

👕 Bayern Munich vs Lazio - Potential Lineups

Pos.Bayern Munich
4-2-3-1
Lazio
4-3-3
Pos.
GoalkeeperM. NeuerI. ProvedelGoalkeeper
Right BackE. DierA. MarusicRight Back
Centre BackM. de LigtM. GilaCentre Back
Centre BackK. Min-JaeA. RomagnoliCentre Back
Left BackR. GuerreiroE. HysajLeft Back
Defensive MidfielderJ. KimmichM. GuendouziCentre Midfielder
Defensive MidfielderL. GoretzkaL. AlbertoCentre Midfielder
Right WingT. MullerD. CataldiCentre Midfielder
Attacking MidfielderE. Maxim Choupo-MotingG. IsaksenRight Wing
Left WingJ. MusialaC. ImmobileStriker
StrikerH. KaneF. AndersonLeft Wing
Draw

✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast

about-author-sheldon

This Bayern Munich vs Lazio prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.

Sheldon is a sports tipster and casino writer from the UK who has a passion for a variety of sports, especially football, rugby, and cricket. He has been involved in the sports betting industry for many years now, and is always eager to provide successful predictions. He is also a dab hand when it comes to the iGaming sector as he has written many casino and slot game reviews.

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