Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction & Betting Tips
| Timetable | 20:00 GMT - 1st MAY 24 |
| Prediction | PSG to win |
| Odds | @2.38 |
| Bookmaker | BetUK Sports |
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The second semi-final of the 2023/24 Champions League will see Paris Saint-Germain head to Signal Iduna Park on May 1st to take on Borussia Dortmund. The knockout stages of this prestigious competition have not disappointed us so far, and I am expecting there to be plenty of drama in this clash. Will one of the teams be able to take a lead to Paris the following week or will the match end all square? Keep reading this prediction in order to find out which way I think this match will go.
🏆 Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-Germain: Who Will Win?
Borussia Dortmund are sitting 5th in the Bundesliga and still have work to do in order to finish in the top four and guarantee themselves a spot in next season's UCL. Of course, if they go on and win the Champions League for just the second time in their history, they will not need to worry about where they finish in the Bundesliga. Dortmund took on Atletico Madrid in the Quarter-Finals and came out on top 5-4 on aggregate. Their 4-2 win in the second leg at home was a performance that will make the remaining teams in the competition take note.
I do not like to use the term farmers' league, but PSG certainly play in one. They are light years above every other team in the league and more or less have this season's title sewn up. They do have the French Cup final left to play at the end of the season, but they will put all of their focus on the UCL as they are desperate to win this title for the first time in their history. Their quarter-final match was against Barcelona and, over two very exciting legs, they came out on top 6-4 on aggregate. Their away 4-1 win in the second leg was a really impressive performance which will have given them a lot of confidence.
This is one of those matches that could end in all three results, but I am not one who likes to sit on the fence. Thus, I am going to predict a win for Paris Saint-Germain in this first leg. As for the scoreline, I think it will end up being 2-1 in the Parisians' favour.
My Prediction: 🏆 Borussia Dortmund 1 PSG 2 ⚽
💯 Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-Germain Match Odds
Below you will find a nice range of quality established and new UK betting sites that have enticing odds and market variation for this Dortmund vs PSG match. Due to how prestigious this competition is, you will not struggle to find a bookmaker who is offering odds for all of the matches. However, they have not all been created equally, and below are five of the best bookmakers around for British football bettors.
If you like the look of any of these bookies but want to find out more about them before you fully commit by making a deposit, then simply head over to our bookmaker reviews page - you can find all the information you could ever need right here.
🏅 Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-Germain: Match Winner Odds
These two teams have played just six times against each other - the Germans have one win, the French have two, and the other three matches ended in a draw. They actually faced each other in the Group Stage of this year's edition, with PSG winning their match at home 2-0 and the reverse fixture ending 1-1. So, PSG will enter this match knowing that, although it will be a tough game, they have what it takes to beat their German opponents and advance to the final.
Due to how evenly matched these two teams are, the bookmakers are not too sure as to which way this first leg will end up going. They have PSG as the slight favourites, which is probably due to the fact that they took four points off Dortmund in the Group Stage. Below are the match winner odds for this big game:
| Team |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 2.64 | 2.64 | 2.70 | 2.75 | 2.80 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.55 | 3.55 | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 2.33 | 2.33 | 2.35 | 2.32 | 2.38 |
⚽ Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-Germain: Both Teams To Score Odds
What makes the Champions League such an entertaining competition to watch is the immense quality that is on display, especially in attack. Goals are not a rarity in this tournament with this year's edition having an average of 3.03 goals per match. Dortmund and PSG have no issues scoring goals and this fact is reflected in the relatively short odds for both teams to score.
As you know from my predicted scoreline above, I also believe that both teams will score in this game. If you are the same, then check out the BTTS odds in the following table:
| BTTS | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.41 | 1.41 | 1.42 | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| No | 2.64 | 2.64 | 2.65 | 2.65 | 2.70 |
🥅 Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-Germain: Over/Under 2.5 Goals Odds
The five sports betting sites that I chose to recommend to you feel that it is very likely that there will be over 2.5 goals scored in this game. However, when it comes to the over 3.5 goals market, they think it is unlikely that there will be this many goals. These odds, along with the match winner and BTTS ones, indicate that the bookies believe that PSG to win 2-1 is the most likely outcome.
If you like to place wagers on the over/under 2.5 goals market, then check out the most recent odds below:
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.48 | 1.48 | 1.53 | 1.42 | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.42 | 2.42 | 2.45 | 2.60 | 2.63 |
✔️ Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-Germain - Betting Tips
This part of my Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-Germain betting guide is going to deal with my top betting tips for this match. Whether you are betting with your own real money or free bets, I highly recommend that you read what experienced football tipsters are thinking as you might just find yourself a little nugget of gold.
Below you can find my betting tips for this Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-Germain match:
- Tip 1: Bet on PSG to win: Matches between these two teams have historically been pretty close, and I am expecting something similar this time around. However, PSG enter this match knowing that they got the better of their German opponents in the Group Stage, and this psychological edge could go on to prove crucial. Dortmund have not lost any of their five UCL home matches this season, but I think PSG's vaunted attack will give them the advantage. If you want to put money on PSG to come out on top, then BetUK Sports are offering odds of 2.38 for a PSG victory.
- Tip 2: Bet on both teams to score: From the six matches that these two sides have played against each other in their history, both teams have found the back of the net 50% of the time. PSG have played five away matches in this year's UCL and both teams have scored in each match. They have no issue when it comes to scoring goals, but they can be a little sloppy in defence at times. Everything points to the BTTS option, and those who want to back this can find odds of 1.44 at BetUK Sports for this outcome.
- Tip 3: Bet on Kylian Mbappe to score: The French striker has been the top scorer in this year's UEFA Champions League as he has scored eight goals in the ten matches that PSG have played. He scored against Dortmund in their opening match of the Group Stage and he got a brace in the second leg of the quarter-finals against Barcelona. He has been in fine form and if you want to back him to score, then LeoVegas will offer the best odds closer to game time.
- Tip 4: Bet on PSG to win 2-1: I am expecting goals in this match for both sides, but I think that Mbappe could be the difference, firing his team to an advantage in the first leg. I think it will be a close game, but I feel that PSG will take one step closer to the final. If you want to bet on a 2-1 win for PSG, then Betiton Sport are offering odds of 8.70.
N.B. Gamble responsibly at all times. Set a budget with an amount which you can afford to lose. Do not chase losses.
1️⃣Borussia Dortmund Update
RB Leipzig and Dortmund are battling it out for the 4th guaranteed UCL spot in the Bundesliga, although it is highly likely that the German league will get an extra 5th spot due to their co-efficient. I think that Dortmund should just go ahead and put all of their eggs in their Champions League basket - if they do not win it and fail to qualify for next year's competition, they will still be in the Europa League.
They have only won five of the ten Champions League matches that they have played, but we must remember that they were in a really hard group with AC Milan, PSG, and Newcastle United. During this campaign, they have scored an average of 1.50 goals per match while conceding 0.90. You can see their previous five results in all competitions below:
| Last 5 Matches | |
|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund1 Bayer Leverkusen1 | 21.04.24 Bundesliga |
| Borussia Dortmund4 Atletico Madrid2 | 16.04.24 UEFA Champions League |
| Monchengladbach1 Borussia Dortmund2 | 13.04.24 Bundesliga |
| Atletico Madrid2 Borussia Dortmund1 | 10.04.24 UEFA Champions League |
| Dortmund0 VfB Stuttgart1 | 06.04.24 Bundesliga |
Edin Terzić, at the time of writing this prediction, has four players that will be missing for this first leg against PSG. You can see their absentees in the following table:
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Ramy Bensebaini | Inner Ligament Injury |
| Abdoulaye Kamara | Unknown |
| Donyell Malen | Knee Injury |
| Sebastian Haller | Ankle Injury |
2️⃣Paris Saint-Germain Update
PSG basically already have their hands on their 12 Ligue 1 title, so they can put all of their attention on the Champions League, which is a competition that they are yet to win. This is pretty embarrassing considering how much they have spent in recent years on signing big players. Winning Ligue 1 each year is not that much of an achievement when you have spent all that money.
From the 10 matches that PSG have played in the 2023/24 UCL, they have picked up five wins, two draws, and three defeats. In this run of games, they have scored an average of 1.90 goals per game while conceding an average of 1.30 goals. Below are their previous five results in all competitions:
| Last 5 Matches | |
|---|---|
| PSG4 Lyon1 | 21.04.24 Ligue 1 |
| Barcelona1 PSG4 | 16.04.24 UEFA Champions League |
| PSG2 Barcelona3 | 10.04.24 UEFA Champions League |
| PSG1 Clermont Foot1 | 06.04.24 Ligue 1 |
| PSG1 Rennes0 | 03.04.24 Ligue 1 |
Luis Enrique is doing pretty well on the injury front at this stage in the season as he has just two injuries to contend with. You can see who these missing players are below:
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Presnel Kimpembe | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| Sergio Rico | Fitness |
👕 Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-Germain - Potential Lineups
| Pos. | Borussia Dortmund 4-2-3-1 | Paris Saint-Germain 4-3-3 | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | G. Kobel | G. Donnarumma | Goalkeeper |
| Right Back | J. Ryerson | A. Hakimi | Right Back |
| Centre Back | M. Hummels | Marquinhos | Centre Back |
| Centre Back | N. Schlotterbeck | L. Hernandez | Centre Back |
| Left Back | I. Maatsen | N. Mendes | Left Back |
| Centre Midfield | M. Sabitzer | W. Zaire Emery | Centre Midfield |
| Centre Midfield | E. Can | F. Ruiz | Centre Midfield |
| Right Midfield | J. Sancho | Vtinha | Centre Midfield |
| Attacking Midfield | J. Brandt | O. Dembele | Right Wing |
| Left Midfield | K. Adeyemi | K. Mbappe | Striker |
| Striker | N. Fullkrug | B. Barcola | Left Wing |
✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast
This Borussia Dortmund vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.
Sheldon is a sports tipster and casino writer from the UK who has a passion for a variety of sports, especially football, rugby, and cricket. He has been involved in the sports betting industry for many years now, and is always eager to provide successful predictions. He is also a dab hand when it comes to the iGaming sector as he has written many casino and slot game reviews.
