Inter Milan v Atlético Madrid Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips
| Timetable | 20:00 GMT - 20th Feb 24 |
| Prediction | Inter to win |
| Odds | 1.52 |
| Bookmaker | LeoVegas |
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Everyone looks forward to the knockout stages of the Champions League because there are always some mouth-watering ties, and this clash between Inter Milan and Atletico Madrid is definitely one such match. This big game will be played on the 20th of February at the San Siro with a kick-off time of 20:00 GMT. Who will win this first leg and take a huge advantage in the return leg in Madrid? Well, let my prediction below answer this question for you.
🏆 Inter Milan vs Atletico Madrid: Who Will Win?
Inter Milan are sitting pretty at the top of the Serie A with a nice gap over Juventus in second, and it is hard to see anyone overtaking them and beating them to the title. Not only have they scored the most goals in the league, but they have also conceded the fewest. They have lost just one league match the whole season, which is a pretty remarkable feat. They did not lose a game in the Champions League Group Stage but finished second due to an inferior goal different to Real Sociedad.
Atletico Madrid are sitting in fourth place and will have given up hopes of claiming the La Liga title as they are now 13 points behind Real Madrid, who occupy the first spot. Diego Simeone's teams are well known for being defensively sound, and only four teams have conceded fewer goals than Atletico Madrid in this season's La Liga. In the UCL Group Stage, only Manchester City managed to find the back of the net more times than the Spanish team.
Inter Milan have been almost impeccable at home this season in the league, winning 9, drawing 1, and losing 1. They were also unbeaten in their 3 home matches in the UCL Group Stage. Due to their home form, I am backing an Inter win, with a scoreline of 2-1.
My Prediction: 🏆 Inter 2 Atletico Madrid 1 ⚽
💯 Inter Milan vs Atletico Madrid Match Odds
There are plenty of different markets that you can bet on ahead of this UEFA Champions League match, with some of the more popular ones being match winner, both teams to score, and over/under 2.5 goals. These three markets are the ones that I will concentrate on in this prediction, so let's now dive into the odds that are being offered for them at some top new UK betting sites and established ones.
If you would like to find out more information regarding any of the following five bookies, then click on the logos that I have provided in the tables below and you will be able to make use of our bookmaker reviews from our experts.
Inter vs Atletico: Match Winner Odds
The bookies have Inter Milan as the favourites to win this leg and take some sort of advantage to the Civitas Metropolitan Stadium. This will be based on their strong home form, which I will touch on a little bit later. For now, here at the match winner odds for this match:
| Team |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 1.92 | 1.92 | 1.90 | 1.92 | 1.94 |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.45 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Atletico Madrid | 3.90 | 3.90 | 3.70 | 4.10 | 4.00 |
Inter vs Atletico Madrid: Both Teams To Score Odds
The bookies are somewhat sitting on the fence when it comes to whether both teams will score in this match. They are slightly favouring both teams not hitting the back of the net, but only ever so slightly. As you can tell from my predicted scoreline, I disagree with this, and I will explain my reasons in the next section of this guide. For now, you can just concern yourself with the current both teams to score odds:
| Team | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.89 | 1.89 | 1.90 | 1.92 | 1.94 |
| No | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.80 | 1.72 | 1.80 |
Inter vs Atletico Madrid: Over/Under 2.5 Goals Odds
When it comes to the number of goals that will be scored in this match, the bookies are predicting there to be fewer than three scored. I do not see this myself, but now is not the time to give you my reasonings for there being at least three goals in this match - that will come in the next section. Below you can see the odds that my five top bookies are offering:
| Team | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 2.07 | 2.07 | 2.10 | 2.12 | 2.10 |
| Under | 1.68 | 1.68 | 1.70 | 1.63 | 1.68 |
✔️ Inter Milan vs Atletico Madrid - Betting Tips
Whether you are making use of some free bets or betting with some of your hard-earned money, it is always a smart move to check out a few betting tips before you dive in and start placing any wagers. Thus, with this in mind, this part of my betting guide is going to deal with my tips for this Inter vs Atletico UCL clash.
- Tip 1: Bet on Inter to win: These are two evenly matched teams, but I think home advantage will play a big part in this match. Inter have been pretty much unbeatable at home this season, and they will be very confident about getting the job done at the San Siro. In 11 league home matches this season they have lost just once, while they won 2 and drew 1 of their three UCL Group Stage matches at home. You can find odds of 1.94 at Fun Casino Sports for an Inter win.
- Tip 2: Bet on both teams to score: The bookies do not think that both teams will score, so I think there is value in backing both Inter and Atletico scoring in this match. Inter have only conceded 12 goals all season in the Serie A, but they do not come across teams of Atletico's quality that often. The Spanish team showed in the Group Stage that they have no issues finding the goal as only Manchester City scored more goals than them. Inter also have plenty of attacking talent, so it would be surprising if they do not score. At the time of writing, Fun Casino Sports are offering [odds of 1.94 for BTTS.
- Tip 3: Bet on over 2.5 goals: I am also going to go against the bookmakers when it comes to the over/under 2.5 goals market. I can see Inter winning this and both teams scoring, so it will not surprise you to hear that I am backing there to be at least three goals in this match. Both teams know how to defend, but I think the attacking talent on display will be able to breach the defences. If you want to back over 2.5 goals, then LeoVegas Sports are offering odds of 2.12
- Tip 4: Bet on Inter to win 2-1: This will be a close match between two top teams, but I think the Italians will come out on top thanks to their home advantage. If you want to back this scoreline, then you can find odds of 7.90 at Betiton Sport.
1️⃣Inter Milan Update
Inter Milan fans are probably already looking forward to celebrating another Serie A title in May - it is hard to see them letting their lead at the top of the table slip, especially after their recent win against Juventus. They are just too good for their league at the moment and are scoring goals for fun while conceding very few. A recipe that will always lead to success.
However, after last season's 1-0 defeat at the hands of Manchester City in the Champions League final, Inter fans will be desperate to go that one step further and lift the Champions League for the fourth time. I do not think that they will manage to do so as there are a couple of teams that I feel are better than them, but whatever happens, they have given their fans some memorable moments this season.
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Roma2 Inter4 | 10.02.24 Serie A |
| Inter1 Juventus0 | 04.02.24 Serie A |
| Fiorentina0 Inter1 | 28.01.24 Serie A |
| Napoli0 Inter1 | 22.01.24 Super Cup |
| Inter3 Lazio0 | 19.01.24 Super Cup |
Simone Inzaghi has four players that he will not be able to call upon for this match on the 20th of February. Of course, more players might be added to the list after their weekend fixture against Salernitana. Below are the current missing players:
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Davide Frattesi | Thigh Injury |
| Francesco Acerbi | Calf Injury |
| Stefano Sensi | Illness |
| Juan Cuadrado | Achilles Tendon Injury |
2️⃣ Atletico Madrid Update
Atletico Madrid are out of the title race in La Liga as they are currently 13 points behind Real Madrid - who are currently being inspired by Jude Bellingham. While their title aspirations are all but gone, they cannot take their foot off the gas as they need to finish in 4th spot to guarantee a Champions League position next season.
At the moment, Athletic Club are hot on their heels, just three points adrift and in better form. At the time of writing, they also have a game in hand. Their form has dipped slightly in recent weeks, but they will still give Inter a run for their money in this tie.
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Sevilla1 Atletico Madrid0 | 11.02.24 La Liga |
| Atletico Madrid0 Athletic Club1 | 07.02.24 Copa del Rey |
| Real Madrid1 Athletico Madrid 1 | 04.02.24 La Liga |
| Atletico Madrid2 Rayo Vallecano1 | 31.01.24 La Liga |
| Atletico Madrid2 Valencia0 | 28.02.24 La Liga |
Simeone also has several players who will be absent for this Champions League clash, and you can see these in the table below. Just like I said above, there is a chance that this list will be extended by the time the 20th rolls around:
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Alvaro Morata | Knee Injury |
| Cesar Azpilicueta | Meniscus Injury |
| Thomas Lemar | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| Jose Maria Gimenez | Thigh Injury |
👕 Lazio vs Bayern Munich - Potential Lineups
| Pos. | Inter Milan 3-5-2 | Atletico Madrid 3-5-2 | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | Y. Sommer | J. Oblak | Goalkeeper |
| Centre Back | B. Pavard | A. Witsel | Centre Back |
| Centre Back | S. de Vrij | G. Paulista | Centre Back |
| Centre Back | A. Bastoni | M. Hermoso | Centre Back |
| Right Midfielder | M. Darmian | M. Llorente | Right Midfielder |
| Centre Midfielder | N. Barella | R. De Paul | Centre Midfielder |
| Centre Midfielder | H. Calhanoglu | Koke | Centre Midfielder |
| Centre Midfielder | H. Mkhitaryan | P. Barrios | Centre Midfielder |
| Left Midfielder | F. Dimarco | Lino | Left Midfielder |
| Striker | L. Martinez | A. Griezmann | Striker |
| Striker | M. Thuram | M. Depay | Striker |
✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast
This Inter vs Atletico Madrid prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.
Sheldon is a tipster and betting expert from the United Kingdom who has a passion for a whole range of sports, particularly football, rugby, and cricket. He is an avid Aston Villa fan, so feel free to feel a bit of pity for him. He has been involved in the online gambling industry for a number of years now and has written a large number of predictions for a variety of sports, so he has built up a lot of sporting expertise over the years.
