Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips
| Timetable | 20:15 GMT - 6th Dec 23 |
| Prediction | Manchester City to Win |
| Odds | 1.66 |
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At the start of the Premier League season, not many would have envisaged that this clash between Aston Villa and Manchester City would be a top-four battle, but that is exactly what it is. There is one point separating these two sides, and you would have got solid odds for that back in August. This should be a fascinating match between two teams that always look to entertain, and those who are considering betting on this match, whether via a free bet or their own money, should first check out my prediction below.
🏆 Aston Villa vs Manchester City
Manchester City have been the team to beat in the English Premier League for many seasons now, and not many teams go into a match against them expecting to get a positive result. They won the triple last year, and their fans are expecting more silverware this season too. However, in their last three matches, they have not been at their best, picking up three draws in a row.
Aston Villa, on the other hand, have picked up two wins and a draw from their last three league matches, and only Manchester City have won more Premier League matches in 2023. Unai Emery has done wonders with this Villa squad, and they now believe that they have the ability to beat any team in the league. They have also won 13 league games in a row at Villa Park.
This fixture used to be one that could be filed under "Another Win for City", but I do not see it being that straightforward. Villa are very good, so should give City a hard-fought match, but I do see Pep's men coming out on top - like they usually do in this fixture.
My Prediction: 🏆 Aston Villa 1 Manchester City 3 ⚽
💯 Aston Villa vs Manchester City Match Odds
Established and new UK betting sites offer a range of markets and competitive odds for the Premier League due to how popular it is. Football has the most markets of any other sport, but some are more popular than others. Below you can find the match odds for three top markets that some quality UK bookies are offering for this Villa vs City match. Click on the bookmaker logos if you want to find out more about them.
Aston Villa vs Manchester City: Match Winner
Manchester City, not surprisingly, are the overwhelming favourites for this match with the bookies, which I do think is a little bit disrespectful to Villa. They have made Villa Park a fortress and, while I would still expect City to be favourites, I would have thought that the odds would be slightly shorter.
| Team |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 4.40 | 4.40 | 4.33 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| Draw | 4.15 | 4.15 | 4.20 | 3.70 | 4.40 |
| Manchester City | 1.63 | 1.63 | 1.65 | 1.60 | 1.66 |
Aston Villa vs Manchester City: Both Teams To Score
Aston Villa have scored 33 goals in 14 matches, which is a total that is bettered only by Manchester City, who have scored 36. These are two teams that know where the back of the net is, so it is certainly worth checking out the Both Teams to Score odds.
| Yes/No | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.47 | 1.47 | 1.53 | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| No | 2.51 | 2.51 | 2.37 | 2.35 | 2.62 |
Aston Villa vs Manchester City: Over/Under 2.5 Goals
You would have to go back all the way to November 2015 for the last time that these two teams played out a 0-0 stalemate. In the 11 matches since, there have been a total of 40 goals scored - that is an average of 3.66 goals a game. It is not surprising that the bookies are favouring over 2.5 goals.
| Under/Over | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.45 | 1.45 | 1.50 | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.52 | 2.52 | 2.50 | 2.45 | 2.62 |
✔️ Aston Villa vs Manchester City - Betting Tips
Now that you have seen the odds from five top bookies for three popular markets, I am now going to give you my betting tips for this Aston Villa v Manchester City match.
- Tip 1: Bet on a City win: Aston Villa have been very good this year, but it is hard to see beyond a Manchester City win. In the last 15 matches between these two teams, City have won 13 matches with the other two ending in a draw. Villa have a very poor record against Man City, and Spreadex are offering odds of 1.66.
- Tip 2: Both teams to score: Villa fans will remember the time when they held arrows pointing towards the goal because their team could not score to save themselves. Those days are long gone, and the attacking talent that both teams have on display should see the BTTS market come in. William Hill are offering odds of 1.53 for this outcome.
- Tip 3: Over 2.5 goals: These two teams have 69 goals between them in the Premier League this season, so it would be a huge surprise if this is not another goal fest. Villa's last clean sheet was ten matches ago, while City have conceded 10 goals in their last five matches. William Hill are offering odds of 1.50 for this market.
- Tip 4: 1-3 Correct Score: If you enjoy betting on the correct score, then my prediction for this is 1-3. Villa will hopefully give City a game, but City's quality should shine through in the end. Spreadex have odds of 11.00 for this final score.
1️⃣ Aston Villa Update
A little over a year ago, Villa were hovering just above the Relegation Zone with Steven Gerrard in charge. The Liverpool legend was sacked and replaced by Unai Emery, and the ex-Arsenal boss has done wonders with his new team. They are one of the form teams in Europe, picking up 72 points from their 36 league matches in 2023 - only Man City and Arsenal can better that. Not only are they picking up points, but they are also very entertaining to watch, playing attractive football and scoring plenty of goals.
They have a tendency to gift goals with sloppy passes, and this is something that they will definitely not want to do with the likes of Erling Haaland sniffing around.
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Bournemouth2 Aston Villa2 | 03.12.23 Premier League |
| Aston Villa2 Legia Warsaw1 | 30.11.23 Europa League |
| Tottenham1 Aston Villa2 | 26.11.23 Premier League |
| Aston Villa3 Fulham1 | 12.11.23 Premier League |
| Aston Villa2 AZ Alkmaar1 | 09.11.23 Europa League |
Tyrone Mings (knee) and Emiliano Buendia (knee) will be out for the season, but Emery will be happy to have Kamara back available after he served a suspension at Bournemouth.
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Tyrone Mings | Knee Injury |
| Kourtney Hause | Knee Injury |
| Emilano Buendia | Knee Injury |
| Bertrand Traore | Muscle Injury |
2️⃣ Manchester City Update
Manchester City are 3 points adrift of Arsenal in first, and with the latter playing Luton on Tuesday, Pep will know that defeat at Villa Park will see them six points behind - it is hard to see Luton troubling Arsenal. City will head to Birmingham full of confidence though because they have a great record against Villa, although they did draw there last season, and were lucky to do so. They have already conceded half the number of goals that they did for the whole of the 2022/23 season.
| Last 5 Games | |
|---|---|
| Manchester City3 Tottenham3 | 03.12.23 Premier League |
| Manchester City3 RB Leipzig2 | 28.11.23 Champions League |
| Manchester City1 Liverpool1 | 25.11.23 Premier League |
| Chelsea4 Manchester City4 | 12.11.23 Premier League |
| Manchester City2 Young Boys0 | 07.11.23 EFL Cup Round 4 |
Kevin De Bruyne (hamstring) and Matheus Nunes (muscle) are two definite injury absentees for this match - Doku might also be injured, but we will have to wait for confirmation. Meanwhile, Grealish and Rodri will be suspended due to picking up five yellows.
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Kevin de Bruyne | Hamstring |
| Matheus Nunes | Muscle |
| Rodri | Suspension |
| Jack Grealish | Suspension |
👕 Aston Villa vs Manchester City - Potential Lineups
| Pos. | Manchester City 3-2-4-1 | Aston Villa 4-2-2 | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | Ederson | E. Martinez | Goalkeeper |
| Centre Back | K. Walker | M. Cash | Right Back |
| Centre Back | R. Dias | E. Konsa | Centre Back |
| Centre Back | J. Gvardiol | P. Torres | Centre Back |
| Midfielder | M. Kovacic | L. Digne | Left Back |
| Midfielder | M. Akanji | L. Bailey | Right Midfielder |
| Midfielder | J. Alvarez | B. Kamara | Centre Midfielder |
| Midfielder | B. Silva | D. Luiz | Centre Midfielder |
| Wide Forward | P. Foden | J. McGinn | Left Midfielder |
| Striker | E. Halaand | O. Watkin | Striker |
| Wide Forward | S. Gomez | M. Diaby | Striker |
✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast
This Aston Villa vs Manchester City prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.
Sheldon is a tipster and betting expert from the United Kingdom who has a passion for a whole range of sports, particularly football, rugby, and cricket. He is an avid Aston Villa fan, so feel free to feel a bit of pity for him. He has been involved in the online gambling industry for a number of years now and has written a large number of predictions for a variety of sports, including GAA, so he has built up a lot of sporting expertise over the years.
