Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction, Odds, and Betting Tips
| Timetable | 15:00 GMT - 5th MAY 24 |
| Prediction | Aston Villa to win |
| Odds | 2.30 |
| Bookmaker | BetUK Sports |
18+ | New customers only. | Min deposit €10. Min turnover €15 | Skrill & Neteller not eligible. | T&C apply. | www.gambleaware.org
18+ | New Players Only. Min £10 qualifying bets, stake not returned. Free bet - one-time stake of 20, min odds 1.5, stake not returned. 1X wager the winnings from the free bet. Max conversion: £200. Withdrawal requests void all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits.| Terms & Conditions apply. | www.begambleaware.org
When we get to the final few rounds of the Premier League, some teams will have plenty left to play for while some others will have an eye on the beach and their summer holidays. Aston Villa fit into the former category as they are battling it out with Tottenham for the final Champions League spot, while Brighton fit into the latter category as the best that they can realistically hope for now is a top-half finish. Who will come out on top in this fixture and claim the three available points? Well, keep on reading to find out my views.
🏆 Brighton vs Aston Villa: Who Will Win?
Brighton punch above their weight in the EPL, but it is fair to say that they have really gone off the boil in recent weeks. Their fans would have been hoping for another stint in European competition, but it is very unlikely that they will be able to make up the points difference between them and Newcastle to claim the final European spot - a place in the Europa Conference League. If they can finish in the top half of the table, they can be quite pleased with their season's work.
The surprise package of the 2023/24 EPL season has definitely been Aston Villa. Unai Emery has guided them to 4th spot in the table and the semi-final of the Conference League. They have a seven-point cushion over Tottenham and know that one win from their remaining three league games should be enough to clinch a spot in the Champions League - especially when you take a look at the remaining fixtures that Spurs still need to play.
I am going to be optimistic here and back them to get those three points against the faltering Seagulls. It will not be easy as Brighton are very solid at home, but I am going to opt for a 2-1 win for the away side.
My Prediction: 🏆Brighton 1 Aston Villa 3 ⚽
💯 Brighton vs Aston Villa Match Odds
When these two teams met at Villa Park last September, the Seagulls were put down in spectacular style by the home side, losing the match 6-1. Ollie Watkins, who must be on the plane to Germany this summer, got Villa off to a flyer with two goals in the 14th and 21st minutes. Five minutes later, the match was all but done when Estupinan put the ball into his own net. Watkins completed his hat-trick in the 65th minute before Jacob Ramsey and Douglas Luiz added salt to the wound. Brighton's consolation goal, if it can be called that, was scored by Ansu Fati in the 50th minute.
Established and new UK betting sites will have plenty of different Premier League betting options available to British football bettors as it is the biggest and best league in the world. It can be hard to find the best bookie for betting on the EPL, but below you can find five bookmakers that I suggest you take a closer look at as well as the odds that they are offering for the match winner, both teams to score, and over/under 2.5 goals.
🏅 Brighton vs Aston Villa: Match Winner Odds
Since seven places separate these two teams in the EPL table, you are probably thinking that Villa will be the big favourites to go on and win this game. However, while they are the favourites, their odds tell us that the bookies believe that there is a chance that Brighton can claim some points from this match. This will be due to the fact that they will be playing at home. Below you can see the match winner odds for this Brighton vs Aston Villa match:
| Team |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 2.86 | 2.86 | 2.95 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| Aston Villa | 2.19 | 2.19 | 2.25 | 2.28 | 2.30 |
⚽ Brighton vs Aston Villa: Both Teams To Score Odds
Sometimes the bookmakers are adamant that some market will come through, and the five bookies that I recommend all believe that it is more or less a formality that both teams will score in this match. With an average of 3.26 goals per game this season in the Premier League, it is not that surprising to see them backing both teams to find the back of the net. If this is your kind of market, then you can find the both teams to score odds below:
| BTTS | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.38 | 1.36 | 1.42 |
| No | 2.81 | 2.81 | 2.80 | 2.75 | 2.80 |
🥅 Brighton vs Aston Villa: Over/Under 2.5 Goals Odds
The odds for the over/under 2.5 goals market are not much longer than the BTTS market, which is not surprising since neither team has had much luck keeping clean sheets this season. Both sides are better in attack than in defence, so there should be plenty of goal-scoring opportunities in this fixture. Those who are curious as to what the over/under 2.5 goals odds for this match can find them below:
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.43 | 1.43 | 1.48 | 1.41 | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.57 | 2.57 | 2.65 | 2.63 | 2.65 |
✔️ Brighton vs Aston Villa - Betting Tips
Below I am going to provide you with some of my top betting tips for this Brighton vs Aston Villa match. Before you go ahead and wager on this match, even if you are using some free bet that you have available to you, check out as many betting tips as you can because knowledge can play a big part in your betting success - although, you will never be guaranteed a win.
- : Tip 1: Bet on Villa to win: Villa seem to be running on empty now, which is no surprise when you consider the number of games that they have played and the injuries that they have constantly suffered throughout the season. They have better players than Brighton and this, along with their decent form, should see them go on to put another nail in Spurs' Champions League dreams. The Seagulls have only lost three matches all season at home, but Villa have the fourth-best away record in the division. Those who want to back Villa to win can find odds of 2.30 at BetUK Sports.
- : Tip 2: Back both teams to score: 24 of Aston Villa's 35 matches this season have seen both teams find the back of the net, while 75% of Brighton's home matches have seen goals for both teams. From the previous ten matches that these two teams have played against each other, there have been goals for both teams in all but three of them. Everything points to both teams finding the back of the net, and BetUK Sports are offering odds of 1.42 at present.
- Tip 3: Bet on Ollie Watkins to score: The England striker has been one of the best players in the league this season, scoring a total of 26 goals in 48 matches. He also has a really good record against the Seagulls - he has scored six goals in the six matches that he has played against them. He will be eager to add to that tally in his race for the Golden Boot, and I can see him getting his name on the scoresheet here. If you want to back Watkins to score, then LeoVegas Sports are offering odds of 2.25 at present.
- Tip 4: Bet on Aston Villa to win 2-1: I envisage this being a close match, especially since Brighton are at home, but I think Villa will have what it takes to drag themselves over the line. They are in better form than the Seagulls and have better players at their disposal, so they should be able to wrap up another important three points. They will not have it all of their own way tough as Brighton will be eager to revenge their 6-1 thrashing last year. If you want to back Villa to win 2-1, then you can find odds of 8.65 at Betiton Sport.
N.B. Gamble responsibly by setting a budget and making sure that you stick to it. Avoid chasing your losses. Stop when the fun stops.
1️⃣Brighton Update
Brighton are sitting in 12th place with 44 points from the 34 games that they have played. Not too long ago, it had been looking like they were going to be battling it out for another stint in Europe next season, but they have gone off the boil as of late, and the chances of that happening are slim to none. Their main aim now will be to finish as high as possible in the table so that they get more prize money come the end of the season.
Regarding their recent form, they are sitting in 17th place in the table with just two wins, three draws, and five defeats from their last ten games. From the last 21 points on offer, they have only claimed two points. During this time, they have scored just nine goals while conceding 17. Below are their previous five EPL results:
| Last 5 Premier League Games | |
|---|---|
| Bournemouth3 Brighton0 | 28.04.24 |
| Brighton0 Man City4 | 25.04.24 |
| Burnley1 Brighton1 | 13.04.24 |
| Brighton0 Arsenal3 | 06.04.24 |
| Brentford0 Brighton0 | 03.04.24 |
Roberto De Zerbi has had to contend with a loss of form, which could be put down to the number of players that they currently have out injured. He has eight missing players for this Villa match, and you can see who these are in the following table:
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Jan Paul van Hecke | Hamstring Straing |
| Evan Ferguson | Ankle Injury |
| Pervis Estupinan | Calf Injury |
| Tariq Lamptey | Knock |
| Jack Hinshelwood | Foot Injury |
| Kaoru Mitoma | Back Injury |
| James Milner | Thigh Injury |
| Solly March | Knee Injury |
2️⃣Aston Villa Update
When Emery took over from Gerrard at Villa Park, Villa were teetering on the edge of the relegation zone. The Spaniard guided them to 7th in the 2022/23 EPL season and now he is on course to get them into the Champions League. Thanks to their seven-point cushion over Tottenham Hotspur, one win from their remaining three league games might be enough to achieve that. Spurs still need to play Man City, Liverpool, and Chelsea in their remaining fixtures.
Villa are 5th in the form table with 18 points from the last 30 that have been available - this includes five wins, three draws, and two defeats. In these ten matches, they have scored an average of 2.10 goals per game while conceding an average of 1.90. Below are their previous five EPL results:
| Last 5 Premier League Games | |
|---|---|
| Aston Villa2 Chelsea2 | 27.04.24 |
| Aston Villa3 Bournemouth1 | 21.04.24 |
| Arsenal0 Aston Villa2 | 14.04.24 |
| Aston Villa3 Brentford3 | 06.04.24 |
| Manchester City4 Aston Villa1 | 03.03.24 |
Emery has had to deal with a number of injuries to key players throughout the season, but not once has he moaned about his lack of luck. He has nine players missing for this match against the Seagulls, and you can see who these are in the following table.
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Boubacar Kamara | Knee Injury |
| Emi Buendia | Knee Injury |
| Tyrone Mings | Knee Injury |
| Jacob Ramsey | Ankle Injury |
| Nicolo Zaniolo | Knock |
| Kortney Hause | Knee Injury |
| Youri Tielemans | Groin Injury |
| Alex Moreno | Calf Injury |
| Emi Martinez | Muscle Injury |
👕 Brighton vs Aston Villa - Potential Lineups
| Pos. | Brighton 4-2-3-1 | Aston Villa 4-4-1-1 | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | B. Verbruggen | R. Olsen | Goalkeeper |
| Right Back | O. Offiah | M. Cash | Right Back |
| Centre Back | L. Dunk | E. Konsa | Centre Back |
| Centre Back | I. Julio | P. Torres | Centre Back |
| Left Back | V. Barco | L. Digne | Left Back |
| Centre Midfield | P. Groß | M. Rogers | Left Midfield |
| Centre Midfield | B. Gilmour | D. Luiz | Centre Midfield |
| Right Midfield | S. Adingra | J. McGin | Centre Midfield |
| Attacking Midfielder | F. Buonanotte | L. Bailey | Right Midfield |
| Left Midfield | J. Pedro | M. Diaby | Forward |
| Striker | D. Welbeck | O. Watkins | Striker |
✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast
This Brighton vs Aston Villa prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.
Sheldon is a sports tipster and casino writer from the UK who has a passion for a variety of sports, especially football, rugby, and cricket. He has been involved in the sports betting industry for many years now, and is always eager to provide successful predictions. He is also a dab hand when it comes to the iGaming sector as he has written many casino and slot game reviews.
