Luton Town vs Aston Villa Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips
| Timetable | 18:30 GMT - 2nd Mar 24 |
| Prediction | Aston Villa to win |
| Odds | 1.80 |
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Luton Town are in a relegation battle and will be between now and the end of the Premier League season, so the last thing that they really want is to have to welcome Aston Villa to Kenilworth Road. The Villans are currently sitting in 4th spot in the league table and are eying up a debut appearance in what is now known as the Champions League. Not only are they one of the best teams in the league at present, but their games are guaranteed entertainment. This is how I predict that this match between Luton and Villa will pan out.
🏆 Luton Town vs Aston Villa: Who Will Win?
At the start of the 2023/24 EPL campaign, everyone had Luton Town down as dead certs to be back in the Championship after one season of top-flight football, but the fact that they are still in with a shout of survival is a testament to the wonderful job that Rob Edwards has been doing. They are just one point from safety, and have given some of the best teams in the league a good game, especially at Kenilworth Road. If Forest receive a points deduction, there is every chance that Luton will have another season in the EPL.
Unai Emery got a lot of stick during his time at Arsenal, but during his tenor as Aston Villa manager he has shown just how good a manager he really is. Villa have been one of the top teams in the Premier League this season, picking up an average of two points per match, and they are currently sitting in the final Champions League position, five points above Tottenham in fifth place. Their form has dropped off a little bit lately, but they have still collected 17 points from the last 30 on offer.
I do not envisage this being an easy match for Aston Villa, and it would not surprise me if Luton managed to get a point out of it. However, as a Villa fan, I have got to back Villa to win, and I think they will do so with a 3-2 scoreline.
My Prediction: 🏆 Luton Town 2 Aston Villa 3 ⚽
💯 Luton Town vs Aston Villa Match Odds
When these two teams met at Villa Park in October of last year, Villa ran out as 3-1 winners. The Villans completely dominated that match, and could have won by more with all the efforts that they mustered. Luton did not offer much that day, and only got on the scoresheet thanks to a bizarre own goal. A Konsa header looped over Martinez, hit the back of his head, and went in.
Bookies will take this previous match and current form into consideration when building their odds for this match, and below you can see the offerings from five top established and new UK betting sites for three very popular football betting markets.
Luton Town vs Aston Villa: Match Winner Odds
Aston Villa are the favourites with the bookies to go on and win this match, although their current odds are perhaps not as short as you would have expected. This can be put down to the fact that it is being played at Kenilworth Road, a ground where even the likes of Manchester City have struggled recently. Villa have collected 10 points from the last 15 on offer away from Villa Park, and will be confident of picking up three more. Below are the match winner odds:
| Team |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton Town | 3.80 | 3.80 | 3.95 | 4.20 | 4.25 |
| Draw | 3.90 | 3.90 | 3.95 | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| Aston Villa | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.80 | 1.74 | 1.75 |
Luton Town vs Aston Villa: Both Teams To Score Odds
The bookmakers always seem to back both teams to score in Premier League matches, and this Luton Town vs Aston Villa game is no exception to this. Neither of these two teams are renowned for keeping clean sheets, so this does not come as much of a surprise to me. You can see the BTTS odds in the following table:
| Team | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.46 | 1.46 | 1.48 | 1.52 | 1.57 |
| No | 2.47 | 2.47 | 2.45 | 2.30 | 2.35 |
Luton Town vs Aston Villa: Over/Under 2.5 Goals Odds
The bookies do not think that there will be four or more goals scored in this match, but they do think that there is a high probability that there will be three goals scored. Since they are backing both teams to score and a Villa win, the over/under 2.5 goals odds tell us that they think Villa will nip a 2-1 win at Kenilworth Road. Check out the odds for over/under 2.5 goals below:
| Team | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.49 | 1.49 | 1.50 | 1.52 | 1.56 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.38 | 2.38 | 2.50 | 2.35 | 2.45 |
✔️ Luton Town vs Aston Villa - Betting Tips
It does not matter whether you are betting using free bets or your own hard-earned cash, it is important that you do your best to find the value bets as this is how you ensure that you get the most potential out of your sports betting experience. My football betting tips below will give you food for thought ahead of this Luton vs Villa match.
- Tip 1: Bet on Villa to win: Villa's form has dipped a little over the last ten league matches, which will give Luton Town supporters a glimmer of hope. Furthermore, Villa have many defensive injuries to contend with at the moment. However, they have a strong attack, and I would back Villa's attack to outscore Luton's attack. In the first half against Forest in their last match, Villa made their opponents look like schoolchildren at times. Those who want to back Villa to win can find odds of 1.80 at 10Bet Sport.
- Tip 2: Bet on BTTS: Villa's defence is down to the bare bones at the moment, and the high line that they play always leads them open to conceding goals. However, they will always back themselves to score more goals than their opponents. Both teams have scored in 77% of Luton's home matches this season, and it is highly likely that there will be goals at both ends in this match. Those who want to back BTTS can find odds of 1.57 at BetUK Sports.
- Tip 3: Bet on Ollie Watkins to scor: Ollie Watkins has been a man on fire this season, scoring a total of 14 goals in the 26 EPL matches that he has played. He has also provided 12 assists, which gives him 26 goal contributions in 26 matches. He will be relishing playing against a defence that has conceded 51 goals this season, and Mr. Mega Sports are offering odds of 2.20 for him to score.
- Tip 4: Bet on a 3-2 win for Villa: Luton will be able to cause Villa's makeshift defence a number of issues, and I can see them scoring a couple of goals just like Nottingham Forest did. However, Villa have a potent attack that is averaging just under 3 goals per match in their last five games. As a result, I can see Villa coming out on top 3-2. Betiton Sport are currently offering odds of 14.50 for this outcome.
One final, but not less important bit of advice that I need to give you ahead of this game is to gamble responsibly at all times. Only gamble with money that you know you can afford to potentially lose.
Luton Town Update
Luton Town have shown plenty of pluck throughout this 2023/24 EPL campaign and this has made them many peoples' second favourite team this season. I definitely enjoy watching them play but, as a Villa fan, I am kind of hoping that they have an off day on Saturday evening and that it is a routine win for Emery's men. I do not see that being the case, though.
When it comes to form over the last ten matches, they are currently sitting in 13th place. They have picked up 11 points from the last 30 on offer and, if they can improve that ever so slightly, they will stand a good chance of staying up. Below are their previous five EPL results:
| Last 5 Premier League Games | |
|---|---|
| Liverpool4 Luton Town1 | 21.02.24 |
| Luton Town1 Manchester United2 | 18.02.24 |
| Luton Town1 Sheffield United3 | 10.02.24 |
| Newcastle United4 Luton Town4 | 03.02.24 |
| Luton Town4 Brighton2 | 30.01.24 |
When it comes to injuries, Edwards also has his fair share to contend with at the moment. He has a potential 9 players out injured ahead of this Villa clash, and you can see these in the table below:
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Tom Lockyer | Heart Issues |
| Marvelous Nakamba | Knee Injury |
| Mads Andersen | Calf Injury |
| Daiki Hashioka | Lack of Fitness |
| Fred Onyedinma | Muscle Injury |
| Elijah Adebayo | Hamstring Strain |
| Alfie Doughty | Knock |
| Jacob Brown | Knee Injury |
| Albert Sambi Lokonga | Hamstring Strain |
2️⃣Aston Villa Update
At the start of the season, not even the most optimistic of Villa fans would have predicted them to be sitting in 4th place after 26 rounds of matches. The job that Emery is doing at B6 is outstanding, and there is not a team in the league who will look forward to a match against Aston Villa at the moment, especially when you consider the form that the likes of Watkins, Bailey, Luiz, and McGinn are in.
They know that they cannot afford to drop many points in their quest for Champions League qualification, and they will be pretty confident about picking up all three points against a team that is in the heart of a relegation battle. Although Emery will make sure that they do not get complacent. Below are their previous five league results:
| Last 5 Premier League Games | |
|---|---|
| Aston Villa4 Nottingham Forest2 | 24.02.24 |
| Fulham1 Aston Villa2 | .17.02.24 |
| Aston Villa1 Manchester United2 | 11.02.24 |
| Sheffield United0 Aston Villa5 | 03.02.24 |
| Aston Villa1 Newcastle United3 | 30.01.24 |
Emery has plenty of injury issues too, and below are the players who will not be available for Villa at Kenilworth Road:
| Player | Reason |
|---|---|
| Tyrone Mings | Cruciate Ligament Tear |
| Emiliano Buendia | Cruciate Ligament Tear |
| Boubacar Kamara | Knee Injury |
| Ezri Konsa | Knee Injury |
| John Duran | Muscle Injury |
| Kourtney Hause | Knee Injury |
| Diego Carlos | Hamstring Injury |
👕 Luton Town vs Aston Villa - Potential Lineups
| Pos. | Luton Town 3-4-2-1 | Aston Villa 4-4-2- | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | T. Kaminski | E. Martinez | Goalkeeper |
| Centre Back | T. Mengi | M. Cash | Right Back |
| Centre Back | G. Osho | P. Torres | Centre Back |
| Centre Back | A. Bell | C. Lenglet | Centre Back |
| Right Midfielder | C. Ogbene | L. Digne | Left Back |
| Centre Midfielder | P. Ruddock Mpanzu | L. Bailey | Right Midfielder |
| Centre Midfielder | R. Barkley | J. McGinn | Centre Midfielder |
| Left Midfielder | I. Kabore | D. Luiz | Centre Midfielder |
| Right Forward | C. Woodrow | J. Ramsey | Left Midfielder |
| Left Forward | T. Chong | Y. Tielemans | Striker |
| Striker | C. Morris | O. Watkins | Striker |
✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast
This Luton Town vs Aston Villa prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.
Sheldon is a sports tipster and casino writer from the UK who has a passion for a variety of sports, especially football, rugby, and cricket. He has been involved in the sports betting industry for many years now, and is always eager to provide successful predictions. He is also a dab hand when it comes to the iGaming sector as he has written many casino and slot game reviews.
