Italy vs Albania: Euro 2024 Prediction & Betting Tips
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| Timetable | 20:00 GMT - 15th JUNE 24 |
| Prediction | Italy to win |
| Odds | @1.36 |
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The reigning European Champions, Italy, will play in the 4th match of the 2024 European Championships, and they will be taking on Albania. Both of these teams make up the "Group of Death" which also includes Spain and Croatia, so neither team can really afford to suffer a loss as it will leave them with a big uphill task to make it through to the knockout stages of the competition. This game will be played at the Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund on the 15th of June, and this is who I think will go on and claim the three points on offer.
🏆 Italy vs Albania: Who Will Win?
This will be the 11th time that Italy have taken part in UEFA European Championships, and they have made it to the final a total of four times - they won it for the first time in 1968 and for the second time in 2020. Only Spain have managed to retain the European Championship title, but the bookies are not giving Italy much hope of joining their elite club as they are the 6th favourites to lift the title. While they have some decent players in their ranks and are the definition of a tournament team, I do not think they have the squad to retain their title.
Albania will definitely be the big underdogs in this group, and it would be really surprising if they managed to make it to the knockout stages of this year's competition. This will be just the second time that Albania have qualified for a major international tournament, so they will just be happy to be taking part. The fact that they drew with the Faroe Islands and Moldova in recent games is a clear indication of their quality or lack of.
Albania will defend stoutly and look to steal a goal on the counter, but I think that their efforts will all be in vain. Italy should have more than enough attacking strength to win this game quite comfortably. Regarding the scoreline, I am going to go for a 2-0 win for Italy.
My Prediction: 🏆 Italy 2 Albania 0 ⚽
💯 Italy vs Albania Odds
It is not hard to find new betting sites and established ones that will offer odds for this Italy vs Albania game, but many of those will be mediocre bookmakers, and you should never have to settle for mediocrity in the sports betting world. It is best to put your wagers down with the best bookies around as this is how you make sure that you are getting the most bang for your buck.
Below you will encounter five top bookies and the odds that they are currently providing for three of my favourite football betting markets - match winner, both teams to score, and over/under 2.5 goals. If you would like to find out more about any of these bookmakers before you go ahead and register with them, our bookmaker reviews page has all the information you could possibly need.
🏅 Italy vs Albania Winner Odds
Albania and Italy have only played each other a total of four times, and it will probably not be much of a shock to find out that the Italians have won all of them. The last time that they played each other was in a friendly back in 2022, which Italy won by a 3-1 scoreline. It would be a mighty surprise to most football fans if Albania managed to prevent Italy from making it five wins from five.
It would also be a surprise for the bookmakers as they are not giving Albania much hope of claiming any sort of positive result from this match. As you can see from the match winner odds in the table below, they are the huge underdogs for this game:
| Team |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.36 | 1.34 | 1.35 |
| Draw | 4.60 | 4.60 | 4.50 | 4.30 | 4.60 |
| Albania | 9.05 | 9.05 | 9.50 | 7.50 | 8.65 |
⚽ Italy vs Albania: Both Teams To Score Odds
In big domestic competitions, such as the English Premier League, the bookmakers will usually back both teams to find the back of the net as goals are in abundance in this competition - one of the main reasons why it is so popular across the world. International matches are usually much harder to predict when it comes to this market and many bookies like to sit on the fence, but they are adamant that both teams will not score here. I also believe this as is highlighted by my earlier 2-0 score prediction.
Check out the both teams to score odds in the table below if this is a type of market that you like to dabble in:
| BTTS | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.47 | 2.47 | 2.38 | 2.25 | 2.38 |
| No | 1.48 | 1.48 | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.54 |
🥅 Italy vs Albania: Over/Under Goals Odds
This will not be a game that is full of goals because Albania will employ a low block, limiting the amount of space that Italy will have to work with. However, I do not think they will be able to keep their concentration levels up for the whole 90 minutes, and Italy will score a couple of goals. There will likely be under 2.5 goals scored in this game, and the bookmakers, as you can see from the over/under 2.5 goals odds table below, agree:
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | N/A | N/A | 2.00 | 1.91 | 1.98 |
| Under 2.5 | N/A | N/A | 1.80 | 1.73 | 1.78 |
✔️ Italy vs Spain Betting Tips
In this section of my Italy vs Spain betting guide, I will give you some of my betting tips for this game. Whether you are going to put down your own hard-earned money or make use of a free bet that you have landed, you should get into the habit of checking out what some betting tipsters think will happen as this can help you place more successful bets - although nothing can be guaranteed in sports betting.
- Tip 1: Bet on Italy to win in an accy: This is one of those matches that Italy will surely go on to win - they just have so much more quality at their disposal than the Albanians do. Albania will be lucky to get a point out of this group, but the fact that they are huge underdogs will not do the odds any favours. The odds for an Italy win are so short that it is not worth placing a single bet on them, but you might want to add an Italy win to an accy. If so, you can find odds of 1.36 at 10Bet Sport.
- Tip 2: Do not bet on both teams to score: There are not many easy matches at international football tournaments, but I reckon the Italian defence will have a pretty easy time of things on the 15th of June. Albania will look to sit deep and then try to break on the counter, but the Italian defence should be able to wipe out any rare fires that the Albanian attackers try to create. I do not think that Albania will manage to breach Italy's defence and if you agree with me on this then you can find odds of 1.54 at BetUK Sport.
- Tip 3: Give Italy a minus one-goal handicap: As you know already, I think Italy should go on and win this match by a couple of goals without conceding, so if you want to increase their match winner odds for a single bet, you can do so by giving them a one-goal disadvantage before kick-off. This would mean that they need to win the game by two goals in order for your wager to come in. If you want to give Italy such a handicap, then LeoVegas Sports are currently offering odds of 2.04 at LeoVegas.
- Tip 4: Bet on Italy to win 2-0: Italy's goal should come under little threat in this match, while I can see the Italians scoring a couple after being frustrated by a dogged Albanian defensive effort. The correct score market always offers enticing odds and, if you think Italy will win this match 2-0, then Betiton Sport are currently offering odds of 5.00 for this correct score outcome.
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1️⃣Italy Euro Update
Italy would have much preferred a group similar to the one that they had in 2020 as they got to face Wales, Turkey, and Switzerland in the Group Stage. They topped their group with three wins and then had to overcome four tough tests to lift the trophy - they needed extra time to beat Austria in the Round of 16, beat Belgium by a goal in the quarter-finals, and needed penalties to beat Spain and England in the semi-final and final. The fact that they conquered such a path will give them confidence heading into their tough group.
Italy were in a qualifying group with England, Ukraine, North Macedonia, and Malta and they finished second on goal difference. They were poor at times throughout the qualifying process, but the Italians have been known to save their best football for the big competitions. Below are their previous five results:
| Last 5 Matches | |
|---|---|
| Ecuador0 Italy2 | 24.03.24 International Friendly |
| Italy2 Venezuela1 | 21.03.24 International Friendly |
| Ukraine0 Italy0 | 20.11.23 UEFA EURO Qualifiers |
| Italy5 North Macedonia2 | 17.11.23 UEFA Euro Qualifiers |
| England3 Italy1 | 17.10.23 UEFA Euro Qualifiers |
At this stage in my predictions, I would usually tell you about the players who will be absent through injuries or suspension, but I do not need to provide such information at the start of the tournament.
2️⃣Albania Euro Update
Albania are novices on the international stage, but it is fair to say that they have been improving in recent years. Not enough to get out of this tough group, mind you, but enough to maybe cause a slight headache or two. Recent wins over Poland and the Czech Republic, two decent international football teams, highlight this fact. However, a 0-0 draw against the Faroe Islands is an indicator that there is plenty of work left for them to do.
They were in a Euro 2024 qualifying group with the Czech Republic, Poland, Moldova, and the Faroe Islands and they managed to finish at the top of the table. You would have gotten good odds for Albania to finish first in this group. They only conceded four goals in the eight matches that they played in, which is a pretty impressive feat. You can see their previous five results in the table below:
| Last 5 Matches | |
|---|---|
| Sweden1 Albania0 | 25.03.24 International Friendly |
| Albania0 Chile3 | 22.03.24 International Friendly |
| Albania0 Faroe Islands0 | 20.11.23 UEFA EURO Qualifiers |
| Moldova1 Albania1 | 17.11.24 UEFA EURO Qualifier |
| Albania2 Bulgaria0 | 17.10.23 Friendly |
There are no suspensions or injuries to address just yet.
👕 Italy vs Albania Potential Lineups
| Pos. | Italy 3-4-2-1 | Albania 4-2-3-1 | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | G. Donnarumma | E. Berisha | Goalkeeper |
| Centre Back | G. Di Lorenzo | A. Ismajli | Right Back |
| Centre Back | F. Acerbi | M. Mitaj | Centre Back |
| Centre Back | A. Bastoni | I. Balliu | Centre Back |
| Right Midfield | R. Bellanova | E. Hysaj | Left Back |
| Centre Midfield | Jorginho | K. Bare | Centre Midfield |
| Centre Midfield | L. Barella | K. Asllani | Centre Midfield |
| Left Midfield | F. Dimarco | N. Bajrami | Right Wing |
| Forward | L. Pellegrini | M. Uzuni | Attacking Midfielder |
| Forward | F. Chiesa | M. Daku | Left Wing |
| Striker | G. Raspadori | S. Cikalleshi | Striker |
✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast
This Italy vs Albania Euro 2024 prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.
Sheldon is a sports tipster and casino writer from the UK who has a passion for a variety of sports, especially football, rugby, and cricket. He has been involved in the sports betting industry for many years now, and is always eager to provide successful predictions. He is also a dab hand when it comes to the iGaming sector as he has written many casino and slot game reviews.
