Poland vs Netherlands Prediction, Betting Tips with Odds - UEFA Euro 2024
| Timetable | 14:00 GMT - 16th JUNE 24 |
| Prediction | Netherlands to win |
| Odds | @1.66 |
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The Netherlands will open their European Championship account with a match against Poland. These two teams are in a group including France, one of the tournament favourites, so they are probably vying for second place to get automatic qualification to the knockout stages. This game will take place at the Volksparkstadion in Hamburg on the 16th of June, and this is who I think will go on and pick up three very vital points to kick-start their campaign in fine style.
🏆 Poland vs Netherlands: Who Will Win?
Poland have managed to qualify for their fifth straight European Championship, but they only made it out of the Group Stage once, which was in France in 2016 when they managed to make it to the last eight. Not many bookmakers will be backing them to match their best record in Germany as they needed a play-off win against Wales in order to qualify for this competition. However, while they have little to no chance of winning this competition, they are not a team that others should take lightly as they do have plenty of quality such as Szczesny, Kiwior, Zielinski, and Lewandowski at their disposal. If you do not perform against the Poles on the day, they have the ability to snatch valuable points.
This will be the 11th time that the Dutch have appeared at the UEFA European Championship, and they managed to lift the title in 1988. However, they were eliminated in the Group Stage in 2012, did not qualify in 2016, and were knocked out in the Round of 16 in 2020. They have quality in their ranks, but the bookmakers are not really giving them much chance of going on to win the title. I am of the same belief - I think that the best they can hope for is a Top 4 finish.
When it comes to this match, though, I am pretty certain that the Netherlands will go on and claim all three points that are on offer. Their better quality will shine through in the end and should be enough to get them the win. As for the score, I will go for a 2-0 win for the Dutch.
My Prediction: 🏆 Poland 0 Netherlands 2 ⚽
💯 Poland vs Netherlands Odds
You will not find it hard to come across established and new betting sites that will have odds for this Poland vs Netherlands match, but a lot of them will be mediocrity personified, and you do not need to settle for second best in the world of sports betting. It would be best if you placed your bets with the best sports betting sites as this is how you ensure that you are getting the most value for your hard-earned money.
Below you can find five quality bookmakers and the odds they are offering for three popular football betting markets - match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, and both teams to score. If you want to find out more about these bookies before you sign up with them, then you can do exactly that over at our bookmaker reviews page.
🏅 Poland vs The Netherlands Winner Odds
These two teams have played a total of 19 matches against each other, and the Netherlands have managed to win nine of them. Poland have won just the three times, while there have been a total of seven draws. The last time the Poles beat the Dutch in a game of football was in 1979, and they have played 12 matches since. These two teams last played in the UEFA Nations League in 2022 - the first match ended 2-2, while the Dutch won the second 2-0.
With such a head-to-head record, it will probably not come as much of a surprise to find out that the bookmakers have the Netherlands as the big favourites to go on and win this game. In fact, they would be very surprised if Poland even managed to get a draw out of it. Check out the match winner odds below if this is a type of market that you are interested in:
| Team |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poland | 4.80 | 4.80 | 4.75 | 4.90 | 5.15 |
| Draw | 3.95 | 3.95 | 4.00 | 3.85 | 4.00 |
| Netherlands | 1.62 | 1.62 | 1.66 | 1.61 | 1.65 |
⚽ Poland vs Netherlands: Both Teams To Score Odds
When it comes to the BTTS market for the likes of the English Premier League, the sports betting sites will usually have no issue backing both teams to score since goals are not rare in this exciting league - something that makes it very popular all over the globe. However, when it comes to international football matches, I have noticed that bookmakers tend to sit on the fence more regularly, and this is the case yet again in this one.
As you can see from the both teams to score odds below, the bookies are favouring both teams to find the back of the net, but only ever so slightly.
| BTTS | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.85 | 1.78 | 1.84 |
| No | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.86 | 1.83 | 1.89 |
🥅 Poland vs Netherlands: Over/Under Goals Odds
This is not going to be a match that is going to be full of goals since Poland will look to defend stoutly and attack on the counter. The Dutch will be frustrated by Poland's defensive efforts to begin with, but the Poles will struggle to keep up such high levels of concentration against a quality Dutch attack, and the Dutch will score a few goals. It is likely that there will be under 2.5 goals scored in this game and, as you can see in the table below, the bookmakers agree with me.
| Over/Under 2.5 Goals | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.90 | 1.77 | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 | 1.84 | 1.84 | 1.85 | 1.86 | 1.92 |
✔️ Poland vs Netherlands Betting Tips
In this part of my Poland vs Netherlands betting guide, I will provide you with some top betting tips for this opening match of Group D. Whether you are using your hard-earned cash or some sort of free bet that you have acquired, you should always read what some betting tipsters are thinking as they can help you place bets that have a higher chance of success - although, as I always say, nothing is guaranteed in the world of sports betting.
- Tip 1: Bet on the Netherlands to win: This is a match the Netherlands will surely go on and win as they have better quality players than their opponents. Poland have the ability to make things hard for the Dutch, but there is only so much defending that you can do before you end up conceding. The Netherlands will have all of the ball, and Poland's defences will be breached a couple of times. If you want to back the Netherlands to win, then you can find >odds of 1.66 available at 10Bet Sport.
- Tip 2: Do not back both teams to score: As I mentioned above, the Dutch will score at some point, but what about the Polish team? Well, they will look to play the whole match on the counter, trying to catch the Netherlands short at the back, but I do not think they will have the pace to cause the likes of Ake, van Dijk, and Dumfries many problems. In Lewandowski, Poland have one of the best strikers on the planet, but he is starting to show his age now. I do not see Poland scoring in this game, and those who also see this can find >odds of 1.89 at BetUK Sports.
- Tip 3: Give the Dutch a one-goal handicap: If you are confident that the Netherlands will win this match by a couple of goals and want to increase their odds slightly, you can consider giving Poland a one-goal head start ahead of kick-off. As I said, I struggle to see the Poles scoring, so the Netherlands would need to score at least twice for this handicap bet to come in. If you want to give them such a handicap, then LeoVegas are offering odds of 2.55 at present.
- Tip 4: Bet on the Netherlands to win 2-0: This will be a back-to-the-wall job for the Poland team and a draw would be considered a win for them. However, it is hard to see them keeping out the likes of Depay, Gakpo, Weghorst, Reijnders, and Koopmeiners for the whole match. Despite their best efforts, I think the Dutch will pick up a comfortable 2-0 win, and Betiton Sport are currently offering odds of 7.15 for such an outcome.
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1️⃣Poland Euro Update
While it is unlikely that Poland will top the top the group or finish as a runner-up, they will be hoping that they can do enough to finish in third place and be one of the best third-placed teams after the Group Stage. If they manage this, then they will book themselves a spot in the knockout stages. However, to do this they will need to perform better than what they did during the qualifying stages.
They were in Group E alongside Albania, Czech Republic, Moldova, and the Faroe Islands, but only managed to finish third in the group, picking up three wins, two draws, and two defeats. This included a pretty embarrassing 3-2 defeat to Moldova and a 1-1 draw with the same opponents. They had to qualify via the play-offs, where they scrapped past Wales on penalties. Below you can see their previous five results:
| Last 5 Matches | |
|---|---|
| Wales0 Poland0 | 26.03.24 UEFA EURO Qualifiers Play-Offs |
| Poland5 Estonia1 | 21.03.24 UEFA EURO Qualifiers Play-Offs |
| Poland2 Latvia0 | 21.11.23 International Friendly |
| Poland1 Czechia1 | 17.11.23 UEFA EURO Qualifiers |
| Poland1 Moldova1 | 15.10.23 UEFA EURO Qualifiers |
At this point in a football prediction of mine, I would be taking a look at the players who will be missing because of injuries or suspension. However, obviously, this is not relevant at the start of a competition.
2️⃣Netherlands Euro Update
The Netherlands are like England in a way, in the sense that they should have won more international competitions than they have. When you check out the squad that Ronald Koeman has at his disposal, it is clear that they have the personnel to cause many teams plenty of issues. England might have the best attack in the competition, but I do not think that it is too far-fetched to say that the Netherlands have the best defence - they have pacey and strong defenders who play in some of the best leagues in Europe.
The Netherlands were in a European qualifying group with France, Greece, Gibraltar, and the Republic of Ireland. They finished comfortably in second place, four points adrift of France, who expectedly topped the group. They conceded seven goals in the eight matches that they played, but four of those came against France in the first round. They averaged over two goals a game, so they are not shy in front of goal. Below you can see their previous five results:
| Last 5 Matches | |
|---|---|
| Germany2 Netherlands1 | 26.03.24 International Friendly |
| Netherlands4 Scotland0 | 22.03.24 International Friendly |
| Gibraltar0 Netherlands6 | 21.11.23 UEFA EURO Qualifiers |
| Netherlands1 Ireland0 | 18.11.23 UEFA EURO Qualifiers |
| Greece0 Netherlands0 | 16.10.23 UEFA EURO Qualifiers |
As explained earlier, there are obviously no injuries or suspensions to address at this stage.
👕 Poland vs Netherlands - Potential Lineups
| Pos. | Poland 3-4-2-1 | Netherlands 3-4-2-1 | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | W. Sczesny | B. Verbruggen | Goalkeeper |
| Centre Back | J. Bednarek | S. de Vrij | Centre Back |
| Centre Back | P. Dawidowicz | V. van Dijk | Centre Back |
| Centre Back | J. Kiwior | N. Ake | Centre Back |
| Right Midfield | P. Frankowski | D. Dumfries | Left Midfield |
| Centre Midfield | J. Piotrowski | J. Schouten | Centre Midfield |
| Centre Midfield | P. Zielinski | F. de Jong | Centre Midfield |
| Left Midfield | N. Zalewski | D. Blind | Right Midfield |
| Forward | K. Urbański | X. Simons | Forward |
| Forward | S. Szymański | C. Gakpo | Forward |
| Striker | R. Lewandowski | W. Weghorst | Striker |
✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast
This Poland vs Netherlands Euro 2024 prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.
Sheldon is a sports tipster and casino writer from the UK who has a passion for a variety of sports, especially football, rugby, and cricket. He has been involved in the sports betting industry for many years now, and is always eager to provide successful predictions. He is also a dab hand when it comes to the iGaming sector as he has written many casino and slot game reviews.
