Italy vs England Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - Rugby Six Nations
| Timetable | 14:15 GMT - 3rd Feb 24 |
| Prediction | England to win |
| Odds | 1.08 |
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2 of 15 of our Six Nations Betting Predictions.
Written by Sheldon Muchmore.
Prediction accuracy 2024: ✔️ TBD.
The second game of the 2024 Six Nations Championship 2024 will see England travel to the Stadio Olimpico to take on Italy. The match will be played on the 3rd of February and has a kick-off time of 14:15 GMT. Unlike Friday night's clash between France and Ireland, there is not a lot of hype surrounding this match.
Paul Williams from New Zealand is the man in charge of this one, while Nic Berry (Australia) and Pierre Brousset (France) are the two guys running the lines. Brett Cronan (Australia) is the Television Match Official.
England enter this match in a transitional stage as the majority of their old-timers who took part in the 2023 Rugby World Cup have been replaced with some fresh blood. The Italians also find themselves in the same boat and, in Gonzalo Quesada, they have a coach who has no experience in this competition. Will Italy be able to serve up some sort of miracle? Is there any rugby betting value to be had from this game? You can find the answers to these questions, and more, below.
💯 Italy v England Betting Odds Six Nations
Rugby betting fans can put their money on a range of different outcomes in a match, but there are three main ones that I focus on, and these are:
- Match Winner
- 3-Way Handicap
- Asian Handicap
Below I have picked five of my favourite bookmakers and given you the odds that they are currently offering for this 2024 Six Nations clash between Italy and England. If you click on the logos in the table, then you will be taken to our in-depth bookmaker reviews for the bookmaker in question.
🥇 Italy v England Match Winner Odds
Given that England have never lost to Italy, it will not come as much of a surprise to hear that the bookies have England as the overwhelming favourites to win this match. While England do have a lot of new blood in their squad, it would still be quite a shock if they were to go on and lose this match. If you want to bet on the match winner and like short odds, then check out the following table:
| Team |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 7.50 | 7.50 | 7.50 | 7.50 | 7.50 |
| Draw | 24.75 | 24.75 | 26.00 | 36.00 | 36.00 |
| England | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1.08 | 1.07 | 1.07 |
➕ Italy v England Handicap 3-Way Odds
If you think that England will go on to win this game pretty easily, but you are not interested in the short odds that are on offer, then you might want to have a look at the handicap betting options. You can opt to give England a points deduction before kick-off in order to make their match winner odds a little more palatable. You can find the 3-way handicap betting odds below:
| Team | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy(0-12) | - | - | - | 2.66 | 2.66 |
| Italy(0-17) | 1.84 | 1.84 | 1.91 | - | - |
| Italy(0-18) | - | - | 1.77 | 1.77 | |
| Draw(0-12) | - | - | 26.00 | 26.00 | |
| Draw(0-17) | 17.00 | 17.00 | 17.00 | - | - |
| Draw(0-18) | - | - | 26.00 | 26.00 | |
| England(0-12) | - | - | 1.44 | 1.44 | |
| England(0-17) | 1.86 | 1.86 | 1.91 | - | - |
| England(0-18) | - | - | 2.00 | 2.00 |
🏮 Italy v England Asian Handicap Odds
If you opt to give England a 12-point deduction, and they go on to win by exactly 12 points, then your bet will not win because the result will be classified by your bookmaker as a draw. If you want to eliminate the option of a draw ruining your wager, then take a look at Asian handicap betting. In the table below, you can find the Asian handicap odds for this Italy vs England clash:
| Team | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy(+16.5) | - | - | 1.91 | - | - |
| Italy(+17.5) | 1.84 | 1.84 | - | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Italy(+19.5) | - | - | - | 1.61 | 1.61 |
| Italy(+21.5) | - | - | - | 1.47 | 1.47 |
| England(-16.5) | - | - | 1.80 | - | - |
| England(-17.5) | 1.86 | 1.86 | - | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| England(-19.5) | - | - | - | 2.16 | 2.16 |
| England(-21.5) | - | - | - | 2.50 | 2.50 |
Odds accurate at the time of writing. Odds are subject to change.
🔍 Italy v England Winner Prediction
I do not really think this is going to be one of those matches that will get you on the edge of your seat. It is a David and Goliath clash, but I do not see David coming up on top this time. Let us have a look at why this could end up being a pretty one-sided affair:
- History: These two nations have played 30 times in the past, and Italy are yet to come out as winners in any of them. There have been some closer-than-expected matches in the past, but England always manage to find a win. The last time these two teams played, England won by 17, which was not as many as some were predicting, but still a comfortable win in the end.
- World Rankings: The rankings have England as the 5th best team in the world, while the Italians have been ranked at number 11. Thus, they suggest that there is a big gulf in class between the two nations and England should be easy winners in this game.
- Home Advantage: There is no doubt that Italy play better at home than away, but English rugby fans will travel to Rome in their droves. There will be plenty in red and white cheering on England, so any home advantage will probably be negated.
- Weather: The forecast is predicting that it will be 14°C in Rome with some sun and clouds. Both teams will be used to playing in such conditions, so it gives no advantage to either team.
- Game play: Since both teams are in transition, it is hard to predict the type of gameplay that will be on show. Italy's new Argentinian coach might decide to play Southern Hemisphere rugby by getting the ball wide and stretching opposition defenders. This could lead to some entertaining play if the backs and forwards can connect. England might opt to be more defensive and kick for field possession. Whatever the style of play, England should still dominate as they have the better players.
Italy have nothing to lose in this match as nobody is expecting them to beat England for the first time. Steve Borthwick, on the other hand, will see this as a great opportunity to give some new blood some much-needed 6 Nations experience. If he had a choice, he probably would have asked for this match first up.
England should win this match quite comfortably, but I do not expect Italy to roll over. I think England will win by around 18 points.
🏉 France to win by 18 points!
✔️ Italy v England Betting Tips
Let me now give you some of my top betting tips for this Italy vs England match. The first tip that I need to give you is to gamble responsibly and never spend more than you can afford to potentially lose.
1️⃣ Match Winner: England to Win
I would not even entertain this market for this match because the odds are not in your favour. They are too short for England and too long for Italy. However, I know that there are some bettors out there who will still want to bet on the match winner, so 10Bet Sport are currently offering odds of 1.08.
2️⃣ Asian Handicap Winner: England (-5.5)
As I believe that England will win by at least 18 points, I would be tempted to give them a points deficit of -17.5 points ahead of kick-off. If you place such a bet, then you need them to win the match by 18 points or more. If you want to place an Asian handicap bet on this game, then All British Sport are offering odds of 1.90 for a -17.5 handicap to England.
3️⃣ Winning Margin
I like checking out the winning margin market because the odds that are on offer are usually quite enticing. I think England will claim an 18-point victory, so the odds of 6.40 that Betiton Sport are offering for England to win by 16-20 points is appealing to me.
🎁 Italy v England Free Bets and Rugby Betting Promotions
You can find rugby betting promotions at the top established and new betting sites, but it can sometimes be tricky to find the best one for you. To help you decide, below you can find a table that highlights all of the top free bets that are available to British rugby fans at the moment.
Match Promotions
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📰 Six Nations News for Italy v England on X
If you want to find out useful team news for both sides ahead of this clash, then you can do so by visiting their social media pages. Below I have provided you with access to Italy and England's X (formerly Twitter) feeds:
🛵 Italy Updates
🌹 England Updates
📺 2023 Italy v England Highlights
If you want to relive what happened the last time these two teams met in the 6 Nations, then check out the video below:
⚡ Six Nations Italy v England Prediction at a Glance
1️⃣ When will be Italy v England kick-off?
This match between Italy and England will kick off on the 3rd of February at 14:15 GMT.
2️⃣ Where will Italy v England be played?
Italy v England will take place at the Stadio Olimpico in the 2024 Six Nations Championship.
3️⃣ Who is my Italy v England winner?
I think England will come out on top and win this match by around 18 points.
4️⃣ What are some Italy v England betting tips?
- Match winner tip: England to win at 1.08 at 10Bet.
- Asian handicap betting tip: England to win (-17.5) at 1.90 at All British Sports.
5️⃣ Can I use free bets for Italy v England?
Yes, there are many free bets that can be used on this clash, and you can find some of the top ones in our Rugby Betting Promotions section above.
✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast
This Italy vs England Six Nations prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.
Sheldon is a tipster and betting expert from the United Kingdom who has a passion for a whole range of sports, particularly football, rugby, and cricket. He is an avid Aston Villa fan, so feel free to feel a bit of pity for him. He has been involved in the online gambling industry for a number of years now and has written a large number of predictions for a variety of sports, including GAA, so he has built up a lot of sporting expertise over the years.
