Italy vs Scotland: Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - Rugby Six Nations
| Timetable | 14.15 GMT - 9th Mar 24 |
| Prediction | Scotland to win |
| Odds | 1.18 |
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10 of 15 of our Six Nations Betting Predictions.
Written by Steven Brown.
Prediction accuracy 2024: ✔️ 77.78%
The Six Nations 2024 returns for round four for Italy vs Scotland. The action will kick off 2.15 p.m. on the 9th of March.
Angus Gardner will be the referee for this one, with Adam Leal and Karl Dickson assisting from the touch lines. Our TMO for the day will be Marius van der Westhuizen.
Most rugby fans might normally write off this one from the start as a win for Scotland, but with Italy's drawn match against France next week, gli Azzurri will be in good form as they return to a roaring home crowd. Who will grab the W on Saturday? Let us find out with my Italy vs Scotland prediction.
💯 Italy vs Scotland Betting Odds Six Nations
We can not get into my betting prediction without having a look at a few odds from top rugby bookmakers. Find out everything you need below.
🥇 Italy vs Scotland Match Winner Odds
Most rugby fans will not be surprised to see that the bookies have Italy as the underdogs again, but they may not be as short as you may expect. Discover more in the table.
| Team |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 4.28 | 4.61 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| Draw | 21.00 | 21.50 | 21.00 | 31.00 | 31.00 |
| Scotland | 1.19 | 1.17 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.18 |
➕ Italy vs Scotland Handicap 3-Way Odds
There is quite the range of handicap odds, from 6 to 24 points. See if there is anything that takes your fancy below.
| Team | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy (24-0) | - | - | - | 1.12 | 1.12 |
| Italy (18-0) | - | - | - | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Italy (12-0) | - | 1.84 | 1.91 | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Italy (11-0) | 1.85 | - | - | - | - |
| Italy (6-0) | - | - | - | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| Draw (24-0) | - | - | - | 41.00 | 41.00 |
| Draw (18-0) | - | - | - | 31.00 | 31.00 |
| Draw (12-0) | - | 17.60 | 17.00 | 21.00 | 21.00 |
| Draw (11-0) | 17.60 | - | - | - | - |
| Draw (6-0) | - | - | - | 31.00 | 31.00 |
| Scotland (24-0) | - | - | - | 5.66 | 5.66 |
| Scotland (18-0) | - | - | - | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| Scotland (12-0) | - | 1.85 | 1.91 | 2.05 | 2.05 |
| Scotland (11-0) | 1.84 | - | - | - | - |
| Scotland (6-0) | - | - | - | 1.42 | 1.42 |
🏮 Italy vs Scotland Asian Handicap Odds
For those not interested in considering a draw, the Asian handicap odds may have something of interest. Find out more in the table.
| Team | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy (+12.5) | - | 1.77 | - | - | - |
| Italy (+11.5) | 1.78 | - | 1.91 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| Scotland (-12.5) | - | 1.85 | - | - | - |
| Scotland (-11.5) | 1.84 | - | 1.91 | 1.94 | 1.94 |
Odds are accurate at the time of writing. Odds are subject to change.
🔍 Italy vs Scotland Winner Prediction
Many are expecting another wooden-spoon-worthy performance from Italy, but could there be another surprise on the cards from Italy? Let us dive into the key indicators of how this game may play out.
History
Both sides have faced each other a total of 36 times. Gli Azzurri have managed to eke out 8 wins in that time, but the Scots have dominated the history books 36. If that was not enough, the away side cruised to a win of 26-14 in last year's competition, so things are not looking up for the Italians.
Last Performances
| Italy Matches | Result |
|---|---|
| Italy v England | 24-27 |
| Ireland v Italy | 36-0 |
| France v Italy | 13-13 |
| Scotland Matches | Result |
|---|---|
| Wales v Scotland | 26-27 |
| Scotland v France | 16-20 |
| Scotland v England | 30-21 |
Two losses and a draw is not a great record for Italy - especially compared to Scotland's two wins and a loss. Italy have not played their worst in this tournament, but the fact they have not managed a single victory thus far does not bode well for them.
World Rankings
Italy are in 11th in the world standings, but that says very little compared to Scotland's 6th position. This seems another nail in the coffin for gli Azzurri.
Home Advantage
The Stadio Olimpico will have a few cheery home fans on Saturday, but I can not imagine there will be enough support to drum up enough resistance on Saturday. I imagine the home advantage may somewhat narrow the final score, but I do not think it will overcome the besieging Scottish.
Weather
The long term forecast is for 18°C and intermittent sun. These should be fairly steady conditions that I feel will favour no side more than the other.
Game Play Styles
Italy are predominantly known for their forward play of trying to dominate set pieces and using larger ball carriers to create attacking chances. Nowadays, however, they have adapted their style so that they are as competent with throwing the ball wide as they are at bashing up defensive lines.
The Scots still favour backs play, led by their key playmaker, Finn Russell. They are able to create exciting chances around the park and are easily able to bring in top try scorers like Duhan van der Merwe into the play.
I think both teams will bring exciting styles of rugby on Saturday, but out of the two of them, I think Gregor Townsend's men will have the greater development and flair to see them to points to the good at the end of 80 minutes.
Winner Summary
Italy have certainly come along in recent times, but will they have enough to thwart the tartan army? I do not think so. I expect we will see a tighter game than you may do from visiting Memory Lane, but I think Scotland will still grab a comfortable 12-point win at the final whistle.
🏉 Scotland to win by 12 points!
✔️ Italy vs Scotland Betting Tips
Now we know how I am expecting Saturday to go, let us take a look at a few betting options for Italy vs Scotland.
1️⃣ Match Winner: Scotland to Win
It is nice to see the bookies going for something a little lengthier than their usual next-to-nothing odds, but would I go for Scotland to win at odds of 1.19 at Betiton? I am not sure I would be interested in anything less than 1.20 for this match, but that is just my personal preference.
2️⃣ Asian Handicap Winner: Scotland (-11.5)
I think there is a lot of potential in the handicap betting options, and with my prediction of a 12-point win to Scotland in place, I would be happy to back them (-11.5 points) at odds of 1.94 at All British Sports. Remember that there is a lot more risk involved with this bet, however, so definitely remember to gamble responsibly!
🎁 Italy vs Scotland Free Bets and Rugby Betting Promotions
Looking for some rugby free bets for this match? Take a look at a few offers below.
Match Promotions
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📰 Six Nations News for Italy vs Scotland on X
Find out the latest team news for Italy and Scotland by visiting their X (formerly known as Twitter) feeds below.
🛵 Italy Updates
🦄 Scotland Updates
📺 2023 Italy vs Scotland Highlights
Interested in catching up on last year's Italy vs Scotland Six Nations match? Check out the video below for highlights!
⚡ Six Nations Italy vs Scotland Prediction at a Glance
1️⃣When will Italy vs Scotland kick off?
Kick-off for this Italy vs Scotland match will be 2.15 GMT on the 9th of March 2024.
2️⃣ Where will Italy vs Scotland be played?
This Italy vs Scotland match will take place at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome.
3️⃣ Who is my Italy vs Scotland winner?
I think that Scotland will come out on top in this match, and I predict that they will go on to win by 12 points.
4️⃣ What are some Italy vs Scotland betting tips?
- Match winner tip: Scotland at odds of 1.19 at Betiton.
- Handicap tip: Scotland (-11.5) at odds of 1.94 at All British Sports.
5️⃣Can I use free bets for Italy vs Scotland?
Yes, there are free bets that you can for this Italy vs Scotland match. You can find out more in our Rugby Betting Promotions section above. As always, please make sure to read the terms and conditions before claiming any offer.
✒️ Steven Brown - Sports Writer and Rugby Expert
This prediction was written by Steven Brown.
In 2023, 81.71% of my predictions were correct.
