South Africa v Tonga Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - Rugby World Cup 2023
| Timetable | 20:00 GMT 1st October |
| Prediction | South Africa to win |
| Odds | South Africa to Win @ 1.004 |
| Bookmaker | William Hill |
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Match prediction 32 of 48 of our Rugby World Cup 2023 betting series.
The final Rugby World Cup 2023 match on the 1st of October sees South Africa take on Tonga in Pool B at the the Stade de L'Olympique de Marseille in, you guessed it, Marseille. The match is scheduled to kick off at 20:00, so if anyone asks you to do something, tell them you are busy!
The referee for this match is England's Luke Pearce, while he will be assisted by Christophe Ridley and Matthew Carley, who are also English. The man on the TMO is Australia's Brett Cronan.
These two nations have met twice on the international stage, and the Springboks have won both of the games. The first one they won by 64 points in 1997, and the second one they won by just five points. Will they make it three wins from three matches, or will the men from the South Pacific be able to cause one of the upsets of the tournament so far? My predictions for this game can be found below:
💯 South Africa v Tonga Betting Odds Rugby World Cup
Let me kick off this prediction by taking a look at the rugby odds that five of the best bookmakers available to British punters are offering for some popular markets. If you click on any of the brand logos that appear throughout this page, then you will be taken to all of our bookmaker reviews, where you can find out more about bookmakers that you like the look of.
🥇 Australia v Portugal Match Winner Odds
If you are looking for a close match this weekend, it is highly unlikely that you are going to get one. This will be a weekend of rugby where there are plenty of points on offer due to the mismatches that have been scheduled. As this is expected to be another complete mismatch, the odds are not very favourable - they are too short for South Africa and too long for Tonga.
Although they do not interest me, I know that they might interest others, so below are the odds for this South Africa vs Tonga match:
| Team |  |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa | N/A | N/A | 1.004 | N/A | 1.003 |
| Tie | 73.00 | 73.00 | 51.00 | 61.00 | 67.00 |
| Tonga | 65.00 | 65.00 | 18.00 | 9.50 | 41.00 |
➕ South Africa v Tonga Handicap 3-Way Odds
This weekend is the weekend of mismatches, and I would be mightily surprised if this game turns out to be any different. The Springboks are one of the best teams in the world, so a wise thing to do here is to check out some of the handicap three-way odds that some top bookies are offering.
Handicap betting is useful for predicted walkovers due to the fact that it gives you the chance to give a points disadvantage or advantage to one of the teams. In the following table you can find the three-way handicap odds, also known as European handicap, that some quality bookmakers are offering for this South Africa vs Tonga game.
| Team | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa (0-39) | - | - | - | - | 1.83 |
| South Africa (0-42) | - | - | 1.91 | - | - |
| South Africa (0-43) | 1.91 | 1.91 | - | - | - |
| Draw (0-39) | - | - | - | - | 26.00 |
| Draw (0-42) | - | - | 16.00 | - | - |
| Draw (0-43) | 17.50 | 17.50 | - | - | - |
| Tonga (0-39) | - | - | - | - | 1.95 |
| Tonga (0-42) | - | - | 1.91 | - | - |
| Tonga (0-43) | 1.79 | 1.79 | - | - | - |
🏮 South Africa v Tonga Asian Handicap Odds
With 3-way handicap betting, there are still three possible outcomes - a home win, an away win, and a tie. If you want to get rid of the chance of a tie ruining your handicap bet, then Asian handicap is what you are looking for. In the following table, I have given you the different Asian handicap betting odds for this South Africa v Tonga match.
| Team | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa (-39.5) | - | - | - | 1.83 | |
| South Africa (-41.5) | - | - | - | 1.76 | - |
| South Africa (-42.5) | 1.83 | 1.83 | - | - | - |
| Tonga (+39.5) | - | - | - | 1.83 | |
| Tonga (+41.5) | - | - | - | 1.75 | - |
| Tonga (+42.5) | 1.79 | 1.79 | - | - | - |
The odds above were all correct when added to the tables. Odds changes constantly, so feel free to head to the respective sites to see any updated odds.
🔍 South Africa v Tonga Winner Prediction
The history and form of both teams point to a big win for the men from South Africa. From their previous six matches, the Springbok have won five matches and lost just the one. Tonga, on the other hand, have won two and lost four of their previous sections.
In the 2023 Rugby World Cup, South Africa have played three Pool B matches - they beat Scotland 18-3, destroyed Romania 76-0, and lost a close match to Ireland 13-8. Tonga, to date, have played just the two matches, losing 59-16 to Ireland and 45-17 to Scotland.
South Africa have to win this match to be in with a chance of making it through to the last eight, so will be aiming to notch up a big score. Tonga will play full of pride like they always do, but pride alone is not enough to overcome this strong South African team. My prediction for this match is South Africa to come out on top by at least 30 points.
✔️ South Africa v Tonga Betting Tips
Any top online betting guide should come with some useful betting tips, so I am now going to provide you with some for this match. One top gambling tip that applies to any kind of bet is to remember to gamble responsibly by setting a budget and not chasing losses. Let us now take a look at my top tips for this game.
1️⃣ Match Winner: South Africa to Win
The odds for this match are really short, so I do not really see much point in betting on South Africa to win. Even if you put down a large stake and the Springbok went on to win, your returns would still be nothing worth shouting about. If you went the other way and bet on Tonga to win, you are more or less just throwing your money away.
If, for some reason, you want to make use of the match winner market, then William Hill are offering odds of 1.004.
2️⃣ Handicap Winner: Tonga to Win (+39.5)
I mentioned earlier that I think that South Africa will win by at least 30 points, so I see some value in giving Tonga an Asian handicap of +39.5. In order for such a bet to be lost, the Springboks would need to win the game by 40 points or more - something that I do not see happening.
If you feel like giving Tonga this kind of Asian handicap, then Spreadex Sports are currently offering odds of 1.83.
3️⃣ Winning Margin
You can find some decent odds in the winning margin market, which is why I regularly check it out when I come across a bookie that is offering them. With such a betting market, your bookie will provide you with a variety of different point ranges, and then you have to choose the one that you think the winning team will win by.
Since I believe that South Africa will prevail by 30 points, I am interested by the odds of 8.00 that Spreadex Sports are currently offering their punters for South Africa to win by 26-30 points.
🎁 South Africa v Tonga Free Bets and Rugby Betting Promotions
New betting sites and ones with plenty experience know the importance of offering a wide range of promos that can be used on a range of sports. Thus, in the following table, I have given you ten of the best free bets that are currently available to you.
Match Promotions
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18+ New customer only. Place a minimum £25 bet on any selection with minimum odds of evens (2.0) and receive a £10 free bet upon bet settlement. Free bet expires after 7 days. Free bet is available once. | T&C apply. | GambleAware®: Gambling Help & Gambling Addiction - www.gambleaware.org
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📰 Rugby World Cup News for South Africa v Tonga
All of the latest South Africa and Tonga team news can be found on their respective Twitter pages:
🦌 South Africa News
🐋 Tonga News
📺 Previous South Africa v Tonga Highlights
South Africa and Tonga highlights are hard to come by, so relive the great game between South Africa and Ireland:
⚡ RWC South Africa v Tonga Prediction Overview
1️⃣ When is the South Africa v Tonga kick-off?
This South Africa vs Tonga match will start at 20:00 GMT on the 1st of October. It will be played at the Stade de L'Olympique de Marseille.
2️⃣ Who is my South Africa v Tonga winner?
Tonga will give it their best shot, but South Africa should win this match with ease - The Springbok to win by at least 30 is my bet.
3️⃣ What are some South Africa v Tonga betting tips?
My betting tips for this game are as follows:
- Winning Margin: Australia to win by 26-30 at odds of 8.00 at Spreadex.
- Handicap betting tip: Portugal to win (+39.5) at 1.83 at Spreadex Sports.
4️⃣ Can I get free bets for South Africa v Tonga?
Yes, nowadays, all top bookmakers know the importance of offering different free bets to their customers. Some of the best bookies when it comes to free bets include the likes of Betiton, BetUk, Spreadex, and LeoVegas. Before claiming any bonuses, it is imperative that you take a look at the main T&Cs so that you know the major rules that apply to it.
✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast
This South Africa vs Tonga prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.
Sheldon is a tipster and betting expert from the United Kingdom who has a passion for a whole range of sports, particularly football, rugby, and cricket. He is an avid Aston Villa fan, having been so since the age of five. He has been involved in the online gambling industry for a good number of years now and has written many predictions and guides for a wide of sports, so he has built up a lot of sporting expertise over the years.
